La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb6f6af66159016839257cb365b619a6fcb26dea9dffa152da3141bc52c4989
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,823$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 51c | 1,490$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.73 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 855.45$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.64 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 57c | 499.96$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.98 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 67c | 478.46$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.17 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 446$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.02 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 43c | 438.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +350.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…6599backed No | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes | 67c | 326.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.39 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 43c | 302.92$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc26c…ffddbacked Yes | 37c | 229.5$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…9733backed Yes | 66c | 167.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 138.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 138.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 58c | 136.21$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes | 57c | 132$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Yes | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 13c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 111.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Yes | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Yes | 49c | 81.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 63c | 78.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 58c | 72.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 45c | 69.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes | 58c | 35.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.22per pick | 26cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Yes | 58c | 34.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 43c | 33.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 42c | 33.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed Yes | 53c | 33.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 57c | 29.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 28.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Yes | 56c | 28.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 27.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.