La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9012e38b8936907cdda7678aba55fa89ee51ff9700d804665d5244f54d602aef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 80c | 1,223$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.03 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 1,124$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.2 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 7c | 1,029$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Over | 80c | 999.86$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.97 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +8.8wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 625.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.45 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Under | 20c | 506.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 12c | 364.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 12c | 312.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 284.08$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.82 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 61c | 250.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 234.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 61c | 227.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 60c | 163.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 163.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 78c | 152.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 62c | 134.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 59c | 127.12$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 41c | 127.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 61c | 55.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbeb…1b63backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 80c | 48.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 163 | 63.8%104 W · 59 L | +32.3wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Under | 35c | 35.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 60c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol B (-2.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-1.5)UD Almería won
- Spread: UD Almería (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.