Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2deea0877ba311a5b4c8ab465d9b5651ee0615e286db381cf8fe82a3925f186c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,742
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 4,485$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 3,706$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,547$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 77c | 1,333$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 31c | 806.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 78c | 772.77$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.77 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 601.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 513.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 44c | 445$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.8 | 117 | 27.4%32 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 79c | 404$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 76c | 263$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 77c | 227$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 76c | 180$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 70c | 157.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 34c | 89.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 36c | 83.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…8b6fbacked Over | 77c | 77.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 42c | 71.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 32c | 62.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 55.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 41c | 47.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 59c | 42.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 60c | 40.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Over | 76c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 27.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 58c | 25.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 53c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 62c | 16.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.