Premier League · resolved market
Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8625f2b58e95276704bb0b4ee22de4199018cb71fea7dc4435619d7cc9f73464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 1,708$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 59c | 800$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.44 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 59c | 639.92$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 48c | 226.73$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…f9edbacked Yes | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Yes | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Yes | 58c | 53.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd861…931abacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…8bcbbacked Yes | 58c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 42c | 28.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)Leicester City FC won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wrexham AFC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.