Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a50c5b74b0823fce65d7e58d8bdbb4a6b304ddcf6f875ed3f5f5cb9ee0ca65b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 53c | 17,736$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,335.85 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ab…6ca3backed Under | 53c | 10,819$5,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,081.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 64c | 9,758$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,508 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 35c | 8,600$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 45c | 8,497$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,829.94 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 5,839$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.27 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5d…7253backed Over | 44c | 4,499$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206e…e75ebacked Over | 50c | 2,732$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 51c | 2,409$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 49c | 2,000$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.34 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,350$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 53c | 915.09$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 60c | 884.21$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.74 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…1ce5backed Over | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 24c | 840.71$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 53c | 796.15$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.19 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Over | 52c | 748.92$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.49 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 44c | 681.32$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 52c | 580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.6 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed Over | 18c | 558$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…c2a2backed Under | 52c | 530.77$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 53c | 522.64$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 519.66$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.32 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Over | 44c | 514.08$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Over | 4c | 404.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb960…8c47backed Over | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 33c | 347.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Under | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 315.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.78 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…ea47backed Over | 54c | 303.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 269.75$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 65c | 259.64$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.78 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 52c | 249.98$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 48c | 231.25$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…7ba6backed Over | 45c | 221.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 204.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 91 | 73.6%67 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca6…0d08backed Over | 65c | 200$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 51cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 55c | 181.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 170.11$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 130 | 73.1%95 W · 35 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 46c | 163.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 45c | 157.78$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 156.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 15c | 152$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…f456backed Over | 52c | 136.54$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 51c | 127.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Over | 38c | 113.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 109.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Under | 10c | 106.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +260.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…f25dbacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…217fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 70c | 99.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 49c | 93.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82e3…2151backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…07f2backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 42c | 87.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 110 | 65.5%72 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…dc40backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 50c | 77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 44c | 74.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 23c | 50.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +257.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Over | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 49c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Over | 52c | 38.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 53c | 37.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…e0a6backed Over | 50c | 35.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 50c | 34.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 68.1%64 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.