Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa7c12b2bc717b12f46ef425fe0bd33e586ad47fd7e7107ee6d237083e449b4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 14,626$6,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 51c | 12,525$6,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,402.75 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 10,543$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 57c | 5,970$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432.88 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…6660backed Over | 0c | 5,943$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 1c | 4,199$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Over | 66c | 3,715$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 24c | 1,249$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.01 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 70c | 1,013$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.02 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 707.35$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.46 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 40c | 689.58$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…b3d5backed Over | 49c | 630.53$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 47c | 450.03$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.33 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 438.72$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.39 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 40c | 353.91$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.87 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 61c | 193.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 65c | 174.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 30c | 144.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 59c | 140.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 127.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 64c | 109.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 107.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 49c | 107.06$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e60…18dcbacked Over | 41c | 99.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Over | 15c | 96.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…5881backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 28c | 90.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 83.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 37c | 80.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 41c | 61.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 68c | 60.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 45c | 60.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cf…bf6abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb02…cceabacked Over | 70c | 37.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 41c | 37.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 68c | 36.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8802…91d6backed Over | 40c | 32.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 72c | 31.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 40c | 28.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…9654backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…d67dbacked Under | 77c | 21.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Over | 80c | 18.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5this page
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.