Other European Leagues · resolved market
Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e52e8317a8088db7bdc3995f62defda6a0f0082459ecf05b55811d417f4c85a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 57c | 16,955$9,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,617.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 4,612$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed No | 43c | 3,205$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 2,741$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.71 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 44c | 1,507$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.98 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 43c | 1,153$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.21 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 43c | 1,135$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.88 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 43c | 714.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.36 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 45c | 551.5$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.33 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 499.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 57c | 396.17$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 235.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 44c | 234.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 43c | 220.79$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Yes | 56c | 146.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.93 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd57…e1febacked Yes | 56c | 44.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 33.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 45c | 26.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed No | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 2.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5Under won
- Heracles Almelo vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.