TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Kings vs. Nets: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,323

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc43…96d3backed Under51c10,884$5,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,338.086654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over46c8,850$4,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0711,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under54c7,661$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,524.061,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under59c4,017$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.9743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca24…e0fdbacked Under51c3,781$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c3,430$1,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,577.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d13…906ebacked Over49c2,986$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e2…cf7cbacked Under51c2,868$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6798…8ae4backed Over49c2,800$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc358…9a7dbacked Over49c2,701$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c2,700$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.242,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5818…4616backed Under51c2,692$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,319.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce5…b0bdbacked Over49c2,497$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f72…c9f2backed Over49c2,481$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d2d…97b2backed Over49c2,465$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,207.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e0…3152backed Under51c2,442$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbb…6567backed Over49c2,157$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3a…79b5backed Over49c1,979$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7c…29d3backed Under51c1,964$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e2…4f4bbacked Over49c1,957$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ccfabacked Under51c1,953$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc42b…77ccbacked Under51c1,874$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Over48c1,844$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.4311543.5%50 W · 65 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under58c1,819$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c1,810$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.514,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f9…f455backed Under51c1,794$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x742b…6b39backed Over49c1,674$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d2…aaedbacked Over49c1,648$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb433…fb12backed Over49c1,542$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05f6…e19ebacked Over49c1,540$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d2…0873backed Under51c1,511$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe91…ebc4backed Under51c1,497$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6686…789bbacked Under51c1,497$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781d…fac5backed Over49c1,484$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522b…6d95backed Over49c1,470$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x240b…2bb6backed Under51c1,396$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c0…9b32backed Under51c1,391$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7711…8a37backed Over49c1,385$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa533…4b31backed Under51c1,365$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over48c1,354$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9258347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0115…8fb0backed Under51c1,354$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe289…97e9backed Under51c1,313$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b2f…5339backed Over49c1,252$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3a9…1688backed Under51c1,217$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39b5…0ee7backed Under51c1,136$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over49c1,122$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3cb…5199backed Under51c1,117$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over44c1,115$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.247436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Over46c1,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.684639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under53c1,074$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…ee10backed Over49c1,060$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e02…11b4backed Under51c1,041$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…a98abacked Under51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over27c1,011$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.978,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under53c1,003$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.4110256.9%58 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cde…b97dbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49012251.6%63 W · 59 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e9c…a869backed Under51c965$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a6c…95aabacked Over49c898$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…2edfbacked Over48c881$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over46c876.2$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.0517850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over41c808.39$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.444,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe932…c291backed Over49c775$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Under56c623.71$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.3110748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x993b…ecfbbacked Over47c580.95$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.357142.3%30 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under54c577$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.362,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over46c471.62$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3281349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c450.21$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.893,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over22c448.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over48c445.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0438947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c443.3$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.632,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd4…2643backed Over49c418$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over46c409.4$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.892,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c322$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Under69c311.51$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1419246.4%89 W · 103 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under59c310$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…8b94backed Over43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Under66c299.99$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023948.7%19 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under68c272.21$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.861,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under73c252.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0160049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008952.8%47 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd286…d979backed Under51c220$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b9…79d2backed Over49c216.62$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe040…97e4backed Over49c216.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeb5…552cbacked Under51c212$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd816…a60ebacked Over44c211.07$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.871931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-35%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xad8f…3615backed Over49c207.19$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ef…1ac4backed Under51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ac…2486backed Under51c205$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce9…22dabacked Over49c201.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc508…3332backed Under51c201$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9828852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…937fbacked Over49c199.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9676…a6ffbacked Under51c197$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0d…8efcbacked Over49c196.77$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a63…ccf1backed Over49c196.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under56c196$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.241,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b3…8b8fbacked Under51c195$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c0…7629backed Over49c194.82$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.