South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x230ce6941355fcac875daf99b0081f54ec463bc26b046d6fe76998673f50cf0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a54…7191backed No | 62c | 2,411$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.05 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 892.41$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.67 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 38c | 878.06$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.66 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 49c | 810.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 39c | 379.29$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 36c | 358.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 99 | 25.3%25 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 245.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 47c | 230$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 198$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 64c | 119.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.15 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 109.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed No | 60c | 108.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…9138backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Yes | 60c | 100.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…22c9backed Yes | 57c | 83.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Yes | 40c | 80.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…f939backed Yes | 36c | 69.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 65.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…1bacbacked Yes | 55c | 61.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0444…55a5backed No | 34c | 57.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…ad3dbacked Yes | 39c | 46.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 67c | 44.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4eddbacked Yes | 48c | 40.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 38.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Yes | 40c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4979…a668backed Yes | 37c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 70c | 18.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 1.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 2.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 3.5Under won
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club Cerro Porteño (-1.5)SE Palmeiras won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)Club Cerro Porteño won
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)Club Cerro Porteño won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.