Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63ef4f7941d9b028f605ff2f7191700fe91da5a9f7beafbc85cd35330650305f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 44c | 5,750$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…fb56backed No | 70c | 3,807$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…d9dcbacked Yes | 30c | 3,800$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5168…3e8bbacked No | 45c | 3,598$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,448$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 18c | 2,368$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.53 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2194…2a53backed No | 74c | 2,229$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b0…4d24backed No | 55c | 1,692$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 37c | 964.99$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 30c | 949.2$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…389ebacked Yes | 29c | 846.77$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…e333backed Yes | 40c | 700.68$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…afc6backed No | 72c | 691.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7a80backed No | 72c | 690.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…7148backed Yes | 62c | 651.42$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…8d0dbacked No | 60c | 600.91$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…7cd3backed Yes | 50c | 600$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 33c | 547.42$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…1adbbacked No | 65c | 462.66$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0751…7d47backed No | 64c | 399.97$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…88cabacked No | 80c | 376.26$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed No | 70c | 354.12$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7e08backed No | 66c | 345.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 17c | 335.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed No | 30c | 329.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 35c | 328.4$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…19fdbacked No | 56c | 328$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…60b7backed No | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…85a2backed No | 66c | 303.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…82c8backed Yes | 51c | 298.29$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…af9dbacked No | 70c | 288.85$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 33c | 279.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Yes | 40c | 276.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 36c | 250.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76c…7d8bbacked No | 44c | 235.28$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…1ab3backed No | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed No | 59c | 219.02$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 36c | 210$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…1056backed No | 68c | 207.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 59c | 202.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee89…cfb3backed No | 60c | 201.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 39c | 200.89$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2181…5d53backed No | 65c | 199.05$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…961bbacked No | 59c | 191.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c7…77b2backed No | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 25c | 174.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 33c | 169.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 74c | 167.69$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed Yes | 52c | 161.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfe…aa01backed No | 66c | 152.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf79…decebacked No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe39f…8bcebacked No | 59c | 150.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked No | 55c | 144.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked No | 69c | 144.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd366…7bcdbacked Yes | 72c | 142.19$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 67c | 139.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked No | 70c | 133.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 75c | 133.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…2d5ebacked No | 78c | 131.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a9…7f9cbacked No | 69c | 130.37$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 24c | 127.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2565…b075backed No | 35c | 118.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252e…5212backed Yes | 45c | 107.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 69c | 106.66$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…fd7bbacked No | 68c | 106.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…94aabacked Yes | 42c | 105.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…7ea0backed No | 44c | 104.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed No | 49c | 101.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9560…1279backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7462backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…a3adbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…7339backed Yes | 55c | 98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7794backed No | 64c | 95.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 56c | 89.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5e…ea15backed No | 60c | 88.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…0fc4backed Yes | 56c | 85.59$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 63c | 83.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked No | 77c | 80.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed15…c4aabacked No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 56c | 78.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Yes | 47c | 77.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 76.07$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…8eeebacked Yes | 43c | 72.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…ab62backed No | 65c | 70.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…7a6fbacked No | 47c | 69.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…6366backed No | 75c | 66.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc698…642ebacked Yes | 27c | 66.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…de6fbacked No | 31c | 65.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…f692backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…b2f4backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…eeeebacked No | 63c | 58.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…00aabacked No | 44c | 57.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…6e40backed Yes | 40c | 56.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc999…ca09backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3c…5eeabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…fb5dbacked No | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.