Venezuela · resolved market
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ab4e6d15f8cbdac36fd092941e0bfca1316c22896c8d9663df1ddd7e72168a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 42c | 3,618$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 45c | 2,968$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.19 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b0…4d24backed No | 46c | 2,871$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,759$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 17cpaid | +164%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 1,212$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,058$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,048$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7661…208abacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 26c | 934.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…5488backed No | 43c | 893.43$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 1c | 803.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4013backed No | 76c | 802.96$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 48c | 772.31$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Yes | 57c | 635.74$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 542.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…afc6backed No | 44c | 455.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…3799backed Yes | 16c | 370$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb959…2d5ebacked No | 61c | 333.36$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…cf8bbacked Yes | 67c | 299.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9111…36a1backed Yes | 68c | 273.18$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked No | 69c | 268$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…7a6fbacked No | 38c | 266.95$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…790bbacked Yes | 65c | 266.7$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked No | 27c | 260.11$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…cae1backed Yes | 64c | 259.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 68c | 250.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.37 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked No | 35c | 229.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2896…fb1dbacked No | 46c | 219.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ae…334dbacked Yes | 5c | 215.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acc…fd7bbacked No | 47c | 210.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 60c | 203.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.75 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…b63abacked No | 39c | 202.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +153.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc245…bccbbacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed Yes | 37c | 200$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a7…46c4backed Yes | 8c | 198.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…389ebacked Yes | 39c | 189.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa4…74e3backed Yes | 27c | 181.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 16c | 170.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed No | 40c | 169$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 46c | 162.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked No | 20c | 157$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +388.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8e76backed Yes | 69c | 151.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 65c | 150.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e80…505ebacked No | 69c | 144.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe940…0fc4backed Yes | 44c | 143.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c9…cd8bbacked No | 36c | 137.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +175.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…21a1backed No | 29c | 136.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…d837backed No | 29c | 118.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…60b7backed No | 34c | 118.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f9…e287backed No | 33c | 116.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +206.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 37c | 108.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb34…c6a4backed Yes | 28c | 108.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…9d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 107.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…8bf5backed No | 60c | 106.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 106.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…a7e0backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…e846backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…9f20backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9d31backed Yes | 65c | 97.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 40c | 97.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 45cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 58c | 94.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…1056backed No | 53c | 93.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b5…3fdebacked No | 64c | 91.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…19fdbacked Yes | 22c | 91.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 70c | 83.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef42…65dfbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed No | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2181…5d53backed No | 38c | 76.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…255cbacked No | 21c | 71.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…2379backed Yes | 57c | 70.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f99…c32ebacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 48c | 69.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf839…33c5backed No | 40c | 67.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 69c | 63.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…c3a6backed No | 36c | 61.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083f…a55fbacked No | 33c | 61.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9f…141abacked Yes | 72c | 54.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0016backed Yes | 65c | 51.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 60c | 50.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd648…2cfabacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…0f21backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c22bbacked No | 77c | 49.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…50a2backed No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 54c | 48.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…8eeebacked Yes | 64c | 48.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13b…0e2bbacked No | 37c | 47.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…0efdbacked No | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +136%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ed…5edebacked No | 41c | 45.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398e…3752backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 34c | 43.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7e…c364backed No | 40c | 42.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd0…392cbacked No | 64c | 42.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed Yes | 61c | 41.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8d…6e40backed Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?this page
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?Yes won
- U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.