Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35b56f91b83109ff2e9bf301595191bb009b4df1610745ffc047760534be646

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Two Moveof Two Move, MODUS
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,702
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,702 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3413…8ff2backed MODUS	27c	4,562$1,238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,238.35	476	46.4%221 W · 255 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Two Move	73c	2,062$1,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.32	51	58.8%30 W · 21 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked MODUS	29c	2,009$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.71	698	35.2%246 W · 452 L	+15.7wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Two Move	72c	2,000$1,435 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565	177	37.9%67 W · 110 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MODUS	28c	889.06$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	208	27.9%58 W · 150 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Two Move	70c	692.35$487 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.4	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Two Move	71c	675.15$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.81	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+4.9wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MODUS	32c	640.7$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.2	810	29.4%238 W · 572 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Two Move	67c	575.06$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.6	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Two Move	72c	566.44$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.6	46	39.1%18 W · 28 L	-4.5wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Two Move	69c	533.65$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.01	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+134.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaff…0f5dbacked Two Move	71c	424.97$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.97	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a0…15a1backed Two Move	71c	399.97$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed MODUS	30c	399.81$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.94	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed MODUS	29c	344.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.04	233	47.2%110 W · 123 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0307…1c1dbacked Two Move	70c	343.36$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.01	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+57.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed MODUS	29c	340.63$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.74	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7d…26c4backed Two Move	72c	340$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x633e…ff78backed MODUS	30c	333.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96a0…79ddbacked Two Move	71c	309.65$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+3.4wins	+0.23per pick	64cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	59+0.09 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed MODUS	29c	309.43$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.9	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Two Move	73c	300$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	264	45.1%119 W · 145 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed Two Move	70c	287.98$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.39	89	34.8%31 W · 58 L	-9.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed MODUS	31c	287.6$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-11.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Two Move	70c	280.32$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.57	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Two Move	72c	261.4$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.19	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Two Move	77c	259.74$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.74	480	57.1%274 W · 206 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked MODUS	29c	245.59$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x42ac…7b70backed MODUS	30c	226.2$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.86	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-3.4wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Two Move	72c	221.81$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.11	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-4.8wins	-0.18per pick	59cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Two Move	72c	209.29$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.29	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MODUS	40c	207.73$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.81	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d4…3a81backed MODUS	31c	206.45$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Two Move	50c	198.71$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.71	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Two Move	74c	193.74$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.37	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Two Move	69c	181.36$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.22	233	42.9%100 W · 133 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Two Move	70c	138.3$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.57	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed MODUS	29c	134.32$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.24	61	41%25 W · 36 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed MODUS	30c	133.95$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.74	303	57.1%173 W · 130 L	+12.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked MODUS	30c	133.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	412	44.7%184 W · 228 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed MODUS	33c	130.26$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed MODUS	30c	130$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	408	44.1%180 W · 228 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed Two Move	77c	130$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.9	332	65.4%217 W · 115 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Two Move	70c	105.75$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.93	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Two Move	71c	103.79$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.33	212	53.8%114 W · 98 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…a8efbacked MODUS	29c	100$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Two Move	70c	100$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	334	45.2%151 W · 183 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Two Move	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	700	52.3%366 W · 334 L	+47.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS	29c	95.99$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e2…1056backed MODUS	41c	93.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed MODUS	32c	90.89$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7291…78e2backed Two Move	71c	90$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.1	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Two Move	71c	88.85$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.85	515	50.9%262 W · 253 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Two Move	80c	77.24$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.64	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2628…39cfbacked Two Move	72c	69.44$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.44	177	63.8%113 W · 64 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed MODUS	33c	60$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	207	38.6%80 W · 127 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed Two Move	48c	58$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.16	45	53.3%24 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS	34c	56.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Two Move	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	150	69.3%104 W · 46 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	73cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Two Move	70c	50$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	250	47.6%119 W · 131 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4e4c…e8debacked Two Move	72c	41.67$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed MODUS	43c	40.12$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.15	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Two Move	68c	37.47$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.95	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Two Move	60c	37$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.8	414	55.6%230 W · 184 L	+41.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed MODUS	54c	36.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.41per pick	61cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x080f…fcc2backed Two Move	71c	35.7$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.35	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	64cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…2b32backed Two Move	70c	35.63$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Two Move	70c	33.25$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.09	70	51.4%36 W · 34 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed MODUS	33c	33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.89	234	59%138 W · 96 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Two Move	72c	32.71$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.16	713	42.5%303 W · 410 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Two Move	67c	30.45$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.05	253	49.4%125 W · 128 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Two Move	71c	28.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.42	529	50.9%269 W · 260 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb04d…2b19backed Two Move	71c	28.17$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5a…d613backed Two Move	72c	27.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.59	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+17%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17d…f87dbacked Two Move	72c	26.61$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6498…0debbacked Two Move	69c	25.09$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	68cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca5…4342backed Two Move	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+72.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e35…8ca4backed Two Move	71c	19.7$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.71	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.19per pick	59cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Two Move	71c	15.9$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.61	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e38…b4cbbacked Two Move	67c	15$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.95	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked Two Move	75c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.8	134	35.8%48 W · 86 L	-9.5wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Two Move	67c	14.87$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.86	92	39.1%36 W · 56 L	-6.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 1 WinnerTwo Move won
Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerTwo Move won
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)Two Move won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event