Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d30c5c59dc6ab0e8a7a85a8260a93bae244b398b892555da802a8d07c51aba

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Two Moveof Two Move, MODUS
Resolved: Jun 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $82,518

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,428 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x913c…39b3backed MODUS	33c	4,438$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.6	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Two Move	53c	2,521$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,180.13	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed MODUS	1c	2,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	35	0%0 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed MODUS	1c	2,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	104	0%0 W · 104 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed MODUS	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed MODUS	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+5.2wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Two Move	67c	1,312$876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$435.96	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked MODUS	1c	1,215$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	53	18.9%10 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf52…efdfbacked Two Move	14c	1,212$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.02	215	58.6%126 W · 89 L	+11.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed MODUS	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	502	47.6%239 W · 263 L	+31.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked MODUS	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	122	17.2%21 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked MODUS	3c	600$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	176	36.9%65 W · 111 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked MODUS	3c	600$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	131	29.8%39 W · 92 L	-7.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MODUS	49c	521.69$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.27	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked Two Move	63c	513.45$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.97	480	53.1%255 W · 225 L	+25.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Two Move	67c	461$309 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.13	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Two Move	15c	414.72$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.76	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfab…f067backed Two Move	77c	413.94$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.07	480	57.1%274 W · 206 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed MODUS	3c	375$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	245	27.3%67 W · 178 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed MODUS	6c	361.57$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.69	213	33.3%71 W · 142 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	+64.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Two Move	73c	359$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.93	88	68.2%60 W · 28 L	+7.0wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed MODUS	13c	350$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	653	37.2%243 W · 410 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed MODUS	3c	350$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.73	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked MODUS	13c	350$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MODUS	46c	341.56$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.05	1,458	48.5%707 W · 751 L	+27.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked MODUS	41c	311.85$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.13	531	39.5%210 W · 321 L	-37.2wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x749f…6be1backed MODUS	69c	299.58$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.99	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ce8…75f2backed MODUS	4c	297.03$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	121	32.2%39 W · 82 L	-11.0wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Two Move	11c	250$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.5	155	45.2%70 W · 85 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed MODUS	40c	249.6$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	721	54%389 W · 332 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Two Move	20c	244.81$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.6	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked MODUS	13c	243.7$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.03	283	36.4%103 W · 180 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Two Move	53c	202.54$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.12	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Two Move	21c	189.52$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.63	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbb…357bbacked MODUS	45c	180.31$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.6	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.19per pick	49cpaid	-40%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f42…1f72backed Two Move	80c	180$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	318	65.1%207 W · 111 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Two Move	14c	167.91$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.53	547	53.6%293 W · 254 L	+22.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked Two Move	27c	167.49$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.79	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Two Move	53c	155$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.85	475	48%228 W · 247 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MODUS	36c	152.89$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.04	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…8e7ebacked MODUS	42c	113.45$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.65	338	54.1%183 W · 155 L	+11.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2669…fa0dbacked Two Move	42c	107.16$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.16	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed MODUS	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	793	43.6%346 W · 447 L	+38.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Two Move	68c	94.34$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.19	1,260	49.7%626 W · 634 L	+21.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b90…08e7backed Two Move	63c	91.14$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.72	382	44.5%170 W · 212 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee59…e42abacked MODUS	37c	78.24$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	288	46.9%135 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed MODUS	35c	68.49$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.04	359	48.2%173 W · 186 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Two Move	67c	65.46$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	102	44.1%45 W · 57 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff1…12e4backed MODUS	27c	52.74$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	129	37.2%48 W · 81 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Two Move	29c	51$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked MODUS	29c	49.75$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.46	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed MODUS	42c	48.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.29	160	54.4%87 W · 73 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked MODUS	47c	44.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.69	149	63.1%94 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked MODUS	36c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	255	47.8%122 W · 133 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MODUS	50c	39.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.56	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed Two Move	53c	39.36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.65	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked MODUS	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	546	48.5%265 W · 281 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc37d…e586backed Two Move	66c	39.18$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.32	387	59.4%230 W · 157 L	+26.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7560…1ee1backed MODUS	27c	38.81$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.48	211	33.6%71 W · 140 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked MODUS	58c	28.1$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.29	328	6.4%21 W · 307 L	-102.4wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Two Move	46c	25.8$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.93	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8634…1b5bbacked Two Move	50c	21.11$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.62	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked MODUS	79c	18$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Two Move	76c	15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.6	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsTwo Move won
Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 2 WinnerTwo Move won
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?Yes won
Game Handicap: TM (-1.5) vs MODUS (+1.5)Two Move won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Two Move vs MODUS - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event