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Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5873…f69abacked Over26c37,000$9,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,7703138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c18,901$13,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,903.736,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under56c13,048$7,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,740.9121853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under54c9,444$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,344.12,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Under53c9,255$4,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,325.472347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over44c7,176$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.211,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Over45c6,749$3,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,062.589946.5%46 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Under55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9939048.5%189 W · 201 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed Over44c3,449$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under50c3,333$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,666.52634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under58c2,817$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.382,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under55c2,615$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.0739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over46c2,351$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.957230.6%22 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over45c2,230$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.57755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Over53c1,625$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.6311161.3%68 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under76c1,506$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0940150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under54c1,421$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.141,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa33…63e6backed Over45c1,333$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.79862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Over46c1,231$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2817843.8%78 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over10c1,110$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.623926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Over48c1,014$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3910956%61 W · 48 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over20c803.03$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.969035.6%32 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over50c788.26$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.591,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over45c711.11$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32019826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c7…bd87backed Over46c600$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2762676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+38.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under55c550$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.52250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over47c532$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0442048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Over45c515.92$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.68842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over40c475$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1907737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under55c455.48$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010443.3%45 W · 59 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a51…bde9backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x75ef…cb71backed Over44c409.09$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1804656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85df…9124backed Over8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32250%0 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1849242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over44c374.24$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3217837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over44c340.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507447.3%35 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582f…c0f6backed Over45c333.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over45c332$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.510139.6%40 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.713841.3%57 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over46c250$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.85844.8%26 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Over46c241.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11149544.2%219 W · 276 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca7…1cb5backed Over48c237.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1141030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfe…8aaebacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Under68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3833422.2%74 W · 260 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…18debacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda0f…f0e7backed Over32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648646.5%40 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10211448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f1…8f46backed Over43c186.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.823243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under47c179.62$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.125553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.156158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over44c157.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.323435.9%84 W · 150 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Under54c154.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.835754.4%31 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ccd…5330backed Over46c145.28$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8316552.7%87 W · 78 L+0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c117.43$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.894,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508030%24 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe860…cdaabacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506147.5%29 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…02d6backed Under49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Under55c100.01$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4515344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…272cbacked Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5337958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3459…808abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511420.2%23 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bd4…49b7backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507742.9%33 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Under52c86.44$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.614560%87 W · 58 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over46c86.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.631,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0526958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0529057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0528359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bce…c373backed Under49c82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fff…9d61backed Over44c81.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.682528%7 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4cb…a3c4backed Over51c78$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2833156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9273…4d96backed Under49c74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under54c71.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87b…968bbacked Over46c65.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309231.5%29 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over24c62.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1525256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c58.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.966428.1%18 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb2…e990backed Over45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9718…9546backed Over44c54.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c6…1223backed Over43c53.26$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e88…7d0cbacked Over45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd323…64acbacked Over44c47.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842259.1%13 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…b60cbacked Under61c45.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.692166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.