Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4351ca595b9419c313fd7f56f75c1b6ee92f6b48569fc938f1a858c82d82f0f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 10,846$5,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,078.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Over | 70c | 10,100$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 50c | 7,746$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Under | 4c | 4,500$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 72c | 1,236$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.08 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 1,050$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 48c | 999.97$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 858.64$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 41c | 696.88$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 70c | 523.38$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.3 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…bd87backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.8wins | +0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 58c | 460.85$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Under | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 38c | 255.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…56cbbacked Over | 21c | 252.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 74c | 236.49$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 31c | 184.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4eb…5857backed Over | 45c | 169$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…75e0backed Over | 73c | 150.68$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…c7a8backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Under | 56c | 102.97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad7…f012backed Over | 51c | 94.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 49c | 91.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked Over | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4c…57acbacked Over | 72c | 89.89$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…4985backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 70c | 78.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 43c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee09…1199backed Over | 48c | 70.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 24c | 65.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…13d5backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 54.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked Over | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da9…9d56backed Over | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…6710backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…d5b0backed Over | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 34.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 72c | 30.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 42c | 29.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 72c | 26.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Over | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ee…cc59backed Over | 73c | 23.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60c…3bf9backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked Over | 72c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.