Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4283282322af41209268748c6e47de0284ee167603d8e12e5b560ceff19310a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 9,749$4,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,967.18 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 60c | 4,809$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.16 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 52c | 4,591$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.47 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed No | 5c | 3,300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 2,162$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.58 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 49c | 2,114$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.04 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 52c | 2,057$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.37 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed No | 49c | 2,000$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.99 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,984$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.11 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 52c | 1,044$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.16 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 48c | 854.78$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.75 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 52c | 841$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.81 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 6c | 801$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 53c | 625.43$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.16 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a7…8db6backed No | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 49c | 489.24$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.73 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 49c | 432$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 46c | 339.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…f8e1backed Yes | 52c | 319$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…18debacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 55c | 153.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 49c | 152.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…bde4backed Yes | 53c | 138.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 49c | 130.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked No | 49c | 107.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed51…eb3bbacked Yes | 53c | 97.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a6…af86backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…8b3abacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff27…92babacked Yes | 53c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 51c | 68.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Yes | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 50c | 64.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc69…78b3backed Yes | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 50c | 59.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 52c | 52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 56c | 51.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…5330backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Yes | 51c | 46.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…8ec6backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…a0d2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…1161backed Yes | 50c | 37.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Yes | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 47c | 26.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d69…beecbacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Yes | 54c | 23.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.