Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0621a537ad246c9e17c14bc447648cc52c3f238e267d2f7793a21bb1d08c7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 24c | 8,797$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…8e9bbacked Over | 24c | 4,096$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 76c | 3,702$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.39 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 25c | 2,288$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.88 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50a…3348backed Over | 24c | 1,858$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.01 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 75c | 1,444$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.09 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bde9backed Over | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 18c | 795$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 28c | 600.04$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Over | 22c | 457.05$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 22c | 448.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Under | 78c | 448.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 28c | 201.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Over | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 132.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…15d9backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 77c | 93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Over | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 27c | 38.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Leeds United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.