Earnings · resolved market
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x902a21e79f5e818458f783575c3c02f51971fff136fc6c41a9ddc8132ae3bd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9256…2e8bbacked No | 76c | 10,548$7,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.18 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 60c | 8,775$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.67 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd7…577abacked Yes | 37c | 5,849$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…ad18backed No | 71c | 5,589$3,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +309.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9fb0backed Yes | 27c | 4,861$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…51a6backed Yes | 2c | 4,338$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Yes | 36c | 3,223$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…5fc1backed Yes | 53c | 2,510$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…8722backed No | 69c | 1,458$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 67c | 1,104$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.44 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,081$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 69c | 999.98$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 23c | 973.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.16 | 80 | 12.5%10 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 74c | 680.97$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8173…1054backed Yes | 32c | 622.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0b…776cbacked Yes | 39c | 498.31$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5708…52e5backed Yes | 28c | 421.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed No | 79c | 381.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 74c | 371.26$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.24 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x816a…e031backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…21f5backed Yes | 34c | 330.83$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…69b5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 23c | 281.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 267.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 23c | 252.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 225.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…9c54backed Yes | 32c | 221.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 27c | 216.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6504…6bbbbacked Yes | 26c | 200.07$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 24c | 187.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc951…8ab4backed Yes | 36c | 175.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 30c | 172.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed No | 74c | 160.65$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 33c | 152.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb7…339dbacked Yes | 38c | 152.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 65c | 152.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 53c | 150.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…c257backed No | 68c | 146.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 21c | 144.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…1b00backed No | 72c | 139.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 36c | 138.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…a4adbacked Yes | 33c | 120.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…abe8backed Yes | 34c | 102.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 52c | 102$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…aa5cbacked Yes | 30c | 100.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c66…31e3backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 107 | 60.7%65 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…8bdebacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd5…32f8backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbd…7dc6backed No | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8598…199fbacked No | 71c | 98.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Yes | 22c | 79.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9b…a49fbacked No | 71c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0534…14fcbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…aa89backed Yes | 20c | 69.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…6adcbacked Yes | 52c | 68.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…9306backed No | 75c | 67.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 63.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba16…d417backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4151…7283backed No | 74c | 59.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…48cabacked Yes | 35c | 57.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…687ebacked No | 77c | 57.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…c502backed Yes | 39c | 54.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…ea36backed Yes | 33c | 51.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -5.1wins | -0.32per pick | 63cpaid | -60%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…e4e1backed Yes | 38c | 51.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb735…4060backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 49.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b4…9518backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 36c | 44.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Yes | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb283…7019backed Yes | 28c | 40.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…5983backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc033…859bbacked Yes | 63c | 39.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5908…cbc1backed No | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +92%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 72c | 35.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…fe93backed Yes | 36c | 35.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Yes | 62c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe90…6c53backed Yes | 30c | 34.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.