Fifa International · resolved market
England to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdacec31baf20324e537ef9955081a7f60d116981f55ac808d46a8edad7a66bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 47c | 23,747$11,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,585.71 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 53c | 15,382$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.49 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 46c | 14,862$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,016.3 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 54c | 12,658$6,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,785.41 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 48c | 12,535$6,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,481.04 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 47c | 10,543$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,639.88 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 54c | 10,515$5,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 57c | 6,850$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,871.22 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed No | 52c | 6,300$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.93 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 52c | 5,905$3,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 51c | 4,576$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.04 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c1…692cbacked Yes | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 3,743$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,015.56 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 53c | 3,731$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,978.52 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 53c | 3,263$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 53c | 3,120$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.48 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 47c | 3,100$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 1c | 3,092$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…0b71backed Yes | 53c | 2,719$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked Yes | 64c | 2,380$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 2,116$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.58 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 48c | 2,046$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 53c | 1,777$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 45c | 1,759$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.7 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffe3…eaafbacked Yes | 46c | 1,718$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 1,688$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…cf74backed Yes | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.33 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 1,199$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.26 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…f341backed Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.87 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 56c | 931.25$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 54c | 920.4$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.02 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 50c | 885.46$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.61 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 45c | 869.53$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.8 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 48c | 828.79$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.43 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 820.15$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.64 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 44c | 818.4$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.62 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 48c | 700$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 52c | 619.43$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.18 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea91…2a69backed Yes | 48c | 609.31$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 14c | 569.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22fd…4b26backed Yes | 50c | 566.02$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.01 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed No | 54c | 530$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 52c | 483.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 461.8$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.36 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 52c | 455.9$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…6a24backed Yes | 45c | 449.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…eb8dbacked Yes | 47c | 446.81$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d9…9beebacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…b42ebacked Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 47c | 429.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.29 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 416$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.72 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 32c | 390$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 53c | 360$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 359.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.73 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 53c | 343.26$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.03 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 46c | 303.26$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…0f39backed Yes | 46c | 295.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 53c | 283.01$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 47c | 282.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 54c | 269.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Yes | 46c | 257$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 54c | 255$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…0767backed Yes | 47c | 243$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 46c | 240$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 46c | 236$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…5baabacked Yes | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…0439backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed No | 43c | 210.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…eb55backed Yes | 40c | 208.72$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d32…c528backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 55c | 208.1$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…090bbacked Yes | 47c | 205.47$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…325dbacked No | 48c | 204.99$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…d3cbbacked Yes | 47c | 202.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa3…d259backed Yes | 50c | 201.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.32 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 48c | 201$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…ee02backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 51c | 196.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.18 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 53c | 195.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a9…4979backed Yes | 52c | 193.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Yes | 48c | 190.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 53c | 184.57$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.32 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c50…c3e2backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 53c | 179.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 50c | 162.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…ccb6backed Yes | 48c | 157.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. England?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.