Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe41592fa7cc3cf3bf8e1d8edea5fefb6ef5124e79a191331dd1bf010f50cafd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 10c | 18,290$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.01 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Yes | 21c | 9,537$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.48 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 9,258$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 8,016$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.76 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5138…4fe5backed Yes | 11c | 6,908$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.97 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 3,761$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.87 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 11c | 3,649$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.49 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 11c | 3,206$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,360$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 18c | 1,344$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de0…42ddbacked Yes | 32c | 1,073$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d3…8d48backed Yes | 12c | 1,009$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 11c | 960$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 10c | 910.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes | 11c | 883.23$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 866.2$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.2 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 10c | 767.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 709.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes | 29c | 688.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…24b3backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…bd59backed No | 73c | 630.21$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.06 | 221 | 47.1%104 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 32c | 619.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 12c | 570$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 74c | 513.25$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.24 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d7…5b7bbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 11c | 491.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 11c | 480$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…a0c1backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 75c | 443.28$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +19.7wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 11c | 416.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 70c | 402.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.36 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…e4b7backed Yes | 12c | 398.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Yes | 10c | 386.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 17c | 329.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8f…594fbacked Yes | 11c | 309.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4091…77d1backed Yes | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 10c | 299.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 11c | 292.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…819ebacked Yes | 11c | 290$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…0f39backed Yes | 11c | 286.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 11c | 283.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e65…681dbacked Yes | 11c | 267.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…e180backed Yes | 17c | 266.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Yes | 11c | 250.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a14ebacked Yes | 11c | 248.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…0767backed Yes | 11c | 243$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Yes | 17c | 239.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.61 | 253 | 28.1%71 W · 182 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 13c | 238.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…6062backed Yes | 11c | 236$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 218.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…131ebacked Yes | 33c | 218.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6438…01abbacked Yes | 20c | 210.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 14c | 207.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ef55backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…4421backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…992bbacked Yes | 11c | 186.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 11c | 175.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 11c | 165.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Yes | 12c | 164$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7d…0fa8backed Yes | 11c | 162.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d7…1314backed Yes | 11c | 161.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…a954backed Yes | 11c | 158$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…6807backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…a30fbacked Yes | 15c | 130$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…4347backed Yes | 11c | 128.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Yes | 19c | 127.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e3…9188backed Yes | 11c | 125.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…272cbacked Yes | 14c | 122.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 13c | 116.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…c857backed Yes | 11c | 109.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…5366backed Yes | 28c | 108.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 135 | 37%50 W · 85 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b19…6759backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f1…6d2fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…b38fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 79c | 99.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 12c | 95.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 75c | 66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…15b1backed No | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc635…9ee6backed No | 78c | 55.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…0280backed No | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. England?No won
- England to score first vs. Argentina?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.