TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc635…9ee6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.86
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
England to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.96
Argentina to score first vs. England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52%+$10.72
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$189.8
England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.2
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$47.49
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$160.51
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$11.54
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$46.64
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$31.73
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-68.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Croatia Open: Luca Van Assche vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Athens Open: Mai Hontama vs Alycia Parksbacked Mai Hontama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Granby: Liam Draxl vs James Kent Trotterbacked James Kent Trotter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.69
Lincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomicbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.96
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Gironbacked Marcos Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekicbacked Marie Bouzkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigurbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Unión win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.69
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.