TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Granby: Liam Draxl vs James Kent Trotter

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liam Draxlof Liam Draxl, James Kent Trotter
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$567,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$737,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d6d…2654backed Liam Draxl43c161,990$69,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,989.617837.6%67 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed James Kent Trotter45c82,174$36,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,899.898,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed James Kent Trotter56c57,023$31,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,671.31,14346.4%530 W · 613 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Liam Draxl75c20,868$15,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,290.689962.6%62 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked James Kent Trotter1c20,141$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.392213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-73.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x060f…5a9dbacked Liam Draxl59c15,000$8,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.947672.4%55 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked James Kent Trotter56c14,298$8,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,055.5911,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed James Kent Trotter65c11,266$7,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,274.993339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec23…24fdbacked James Kent Trotter42c11,111$4,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,633.185251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Liam Draxl78c10,000$7,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,231.3636149.6%179 W · 182 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed James Kent Trotter24c6,128$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.1978540.6%319 W · 466 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed James Kent Trotter41c6,045$2,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,454.358,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed James Kent Trotter41c5,795$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.35749.1%28 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed James Kent Trotter22c4,405$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.211,14341.3%472 W · 671 L+23.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed James Kent Trotter45c3,947$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.262,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked James Kent Trotter22c3,275$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.0559852.7%315 W · 283 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Liam Draxl36c3,050$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.2447328.3%134 W · 339 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Liam Draxl67c3,028$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.784,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Liam Draxl58c2,978$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.432,23852.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L+80.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed James Kent Trotter27c2,783$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed James Kent Trotter46c2,174$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.182,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e1c…4db8backed Liam Draxl65c2,035$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.091478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Liam Draxl70c2,035$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.34,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked James Kent Trotter25c1,743$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.743,18748.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L-46.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec11…953fbacked James Kent Trotter52c1,694$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.3713648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Liam Draxl33c1,571$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.574,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Liam Draxl71c1,446$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.741,31843.6%574 W · 744 L-23.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed James Kent Trotter22c1,339$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed James Kent Trotter24c1,225$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032337.5%121 W · 202 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Liam Draxl58c1,178$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.284,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed James Kent Trotter25c1,146$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.021,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed James Kent Trotter35c1,146$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.9392237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed James Kent Trotter23c1,107$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4226854.5%146 W · 122 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked James Kent Trotter22c1,098$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4271139.1%278 W · 433 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked James Kent Trotter23c1,083$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.4727454%148 W · 126 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked James Kent Trotter52c1,060$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.6453043%228 W · 302 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed James Kent Trotter22c1,044$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.292,13736.8%787 W · 1,350 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed James Kent Trotter24c984.55$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.541,53442.4%651 W · 883 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed James Kent Trotter48c979.98$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.0239451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Liam Draxl55c934.88$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.445,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Liam Draxl57c846.23$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.042,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Liam Draxl36c842.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.811,83648.4%889 W · 947 L-32.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed James Kent Trotter47c800$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.949,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed James Kent Trotter26c777.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026546.4%123 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked James Kent Trotter45c766.28$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.276,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3000…ca6abacked Liam Draxl37c703.13$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb5…7ce9backed James Kent Trotter28c699.98$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.697450%37 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Liam Draxl74c685.18$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.337070%49 W · 21 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Liam Draxl44c678.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.8810152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed James Kent Trotter24c600$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.32,21242.9%948 W · 1,264 L+34.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed James Kent Trotter26c599.99$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.936,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Liam Draxl77c538.3$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.312248.4%59 W · 63 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed James Kent Trotter48c514.15$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.892,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b91…ae77backed Liam Draxl78c514.14$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-45.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked James Kent Trotter25c509.21$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.922,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed James Kent Trotter26c501.57$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9184349.8%420 W · 423 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed James Kent Trotter23c478.91$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.131,95843.7%856 W · 1,102 L-21.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked James Kent Trotter47c464.14$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011435.1%40 W · 74 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Liam Draxl65c447.39$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8746453%246 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed James Kent Trotter24c444.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.821,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked James Kent Trotter45c435.46$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.036,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed James Kent Trotter38c417.63$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.072,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Liam Draxl62c400$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8231237.8%118 W · 194 L-24.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed James Kent Trotter24c394.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7638935.7%139 W · 250 L-0.5wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Liam Draxl37c380.34$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.1424848.4%120 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed James Kent Trotter23c365$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.233253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57e7…84e9backed James Kent Trotter49c294.28$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0322638.9%88 W · 138 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed James Kent Trotter25c275.18$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.893,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Liam Draxl47c271.55$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.9465942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf49…b4a5backed James Kent Trotter56c254.91$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8754955.2%303 W · 246 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed James Kent Trotter40c253.48$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9479646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed James Kent Trotter27c247.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.878234.1%28 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Liam Draxl45c227.97$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.739751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Liam Draxl57c227.79$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.992352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Liam Draxl71c202.89$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.974,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Liam Draxl46c200.18$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.112,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc806…57c6backed James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989640.6%39 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b39…1f68backed James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9812746.5%59 W · 68 L+13.1wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad2b…2a8ebacked James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987847.4%37 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x029e…b19cbacked James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9811644%51 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0785…3540backed James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810742.1%45 W · 62 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9813438.8%52 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3702…9b19backed James Kent Trotter49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988444%37 W · 47 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f19…474ebacked James Kent Trotter49c198.17$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.118038.3%69 W · 111 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked James Kent Trotter22c193$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9394940.1%381 W · 568 L+30.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed James Kent Trotter24c192$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0855748.8%272 W · 285 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed James Kent Trotter65c191.45$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.822,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed James Kent Trotter49c190$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.19452.1%49 W · 45 L+11.5wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed James Kent Trotter26c188.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.447,10049.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L+107.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed James Kent Trotter27c185.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Liam Draxl60c177.83$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3532031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked James Kent Trotter51c175.95$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.155,37748.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L+16.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e70…4b2abacked James Kent Trotter60c166.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Liam Draxl74c162.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4490454.4%492 W · 412 L+3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ce…9a45backed James Kent Trotter64c153.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.79633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Liam Draxl35c150$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.539444.4%175 W · 219 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed James Kent Trotter22c148.96$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0730554.4%166 W · 139 L-1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked James Kent Trotter27c148.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.991,47435.1%518 W · 956 L-14.4wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed James Kent Trotter47c142.35$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.112,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Liam Draxl36c136.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.991,17852.4%617 W · 561 L+27.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.