Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcd000814ac207272e3ce05e67464db4da261c999ee614ffc6165982ac5996c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $229,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,871
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa056…d8c4backed Yes | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 43c | 13,371$5,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,723.74 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 43c | 11,346$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,878.78 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 57c | 10,739$6,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.47 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 56c | 10,213$5,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.52 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 58c | 7,410$4,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,145.33 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 57c | 6,045$3,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.6 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 61c | 5,922$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.47 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 43c | 5,265$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.82 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c5…5b2abacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 56c | 4,442$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.13 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54c…7f3cbacked Yes | 43c | 2,880$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 11c | 2,615$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 2,509$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.23 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 59c | 2,340$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.44 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…3365backed Yes | 42c | 2,062$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 1,922$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.22 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…6c92backed Yes | 44c | 1,800$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.02 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…abeabacked No | 57c | 1,789$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.27 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 40c | 1,772$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.8 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 43c | 1,723$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.48 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 39c | 1,520$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.8 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 56c | 1,199$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.42 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 1,040$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c07…48d9backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207e…7683backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Yes | 44c | 999.99$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 946.12$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.68 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 57c | 915$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.45 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…bb37backed Yes | 44c | 903.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 61c | 903.05$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…914abacked No | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 885.36$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.28 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…5076backed No | 56c | 825.57$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…c780backed Yes | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…9978backed Yes | 41c | 726.14$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 58c | 688.73$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.15 | 263 | 44.1%116 W · 147 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 35c | 664$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.92 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4267…4ccebacked Yes | 44c | 660$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.4 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 46c | 650.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 60c | 622.94$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.07 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2772…ac19backed No | 57c | 605$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Yes | 42c | 597.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 147 | 25.9%38 W · 109 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 58c | 590$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4d…b0edbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 515.56$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed No | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 59c | 478.32$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.49 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…9fa4backed Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 57c | 461.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.78 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c82…e097backed Yes | 46c | 438.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 43c | 429.47$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.36 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed No | 57c | 373$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.39 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 63c | 336.88$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 334$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 334$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 333.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.68 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed No | 57c | 330.63$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.14 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…15a2backed Yes | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 41c | 301.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 57c | 300.22$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.59 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdde…abcfbacked No | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db7…159fbacked No | 56c | 298.92$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 38c | 293.71$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 59c | 280$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…af29backed Yes | 37c | 270.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yes | 43c | 269.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.89 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5879…b671backed Yes | 42c | 267$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -59%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Yes | 42c | 264.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c1…3ac2backed No | 58c | 255.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…9c04backed Yes | 42c | 253.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…7451backed Yes | 35c | 251.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…8b5fbacked Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…5e22backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a14ebacked Yes | 42c | 247$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 57c | 243.62$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.53 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…0767backed Yes | 41c | 243.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked No | 61c | 242.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…6f1abacked Yes | 19c | 241.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 43c | 240$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 44c | 238.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.91 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…8aa9backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9d…24b3backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47c…880abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd163…f69fbacked Yes | 42c | 231.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…b651backed Yes | 44c | 224.3$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.69 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…610cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 56c | 209.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.13 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 206.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Yes | 50c | 204.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.91 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. Argentina?Yes won
- England vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.