TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-11-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,567
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,567 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No25c11,177$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.232552%13 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No24c9,699$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.3284850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes76c7,717$5,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.9519934.7%69 W · 130 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No25c6,999$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.825269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Yes77c5,182$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.041457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0505536.4%20 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No19c4,988$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.968545.9%39 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked Yes69c4,500$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes79c4,238$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.910360.2%62 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes69c3,500$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0851850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No21c3,150$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes75c3,120$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.051258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Yes75c2,384$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.45683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No19c1,700$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33013327.8%37 W · 96 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes75c1,608$1,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9733349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27021925.6%56 W · 163 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No9c1,158$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.295240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No24c1,132$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.7944952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes80c1,102$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.48743.7%38 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No4c992.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4352243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc75…e4bcbacked Yes75c929.8$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.45560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No19c789$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.919148.4%44 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No25c777$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.256949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No11c772.25$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.012,99942.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L+7.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes79c704.14$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.3512166.9%81 W · 40 L+17.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes75c662.44$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.613852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes80c569.25$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.133,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes75c533.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No19c499.92$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9819027.4%52 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No31c496.75$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.515337.7%20 W · 33 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes77c487.01$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0112955.8%72 W · 57 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No15c468.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.072917.2%5 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes80c444.25$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.987550.7%38 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes75c415.49$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.871952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No7c401.39$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.394418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes77c390$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.73253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes75c373.33$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.331471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes80c325$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes76c315.79$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes79c288.62$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.0433847%159 W · 179 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes76c263.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes75c257.25$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.31850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x910d…5a46backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ed…6d3cbacked Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a4…a73ebacked No12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3090%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No20c210$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.927851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes77c204.99$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4331849.4%157 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No19c195.16$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.089444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No20c190$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5111644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No7c183$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.48027.5%22 W · 58 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No15c162.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527537.1%102 W · 173 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No19c157$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.838250%41 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No19c156.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8314756.5%83 W · 64 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.56942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No16c147.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.62343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf537…8d55backed Yes69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe333…cf5fbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes79c132.68$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8642844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.582885.7%24 W · 4 L+6.4wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+40.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x71f6…d12fbacked Yes76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No19c129$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0137926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253070%21 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+23.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes70c117.66$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.31233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes78c107.43$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.632085%17 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes75c85.29$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.321181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.33per pick49cpaid+56%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x950c…e5ebbacked Yes76c83.87$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.135100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06df…3b05backed No21c83.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.54450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…e227backed Yes75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.827648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.827651.3%39 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828554.1%46 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.829450%47 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828048.8%39 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No19c78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No19c77.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4174…9008backed Yes80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Yes80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…e41cbacked Yes75c73.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.33771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe903…f8e1backed Yes75c73.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.332860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Yes74c70$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…b378backed Yes75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+65%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.944065%26 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed Yes79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes78c49.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.095030%15 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No21c47.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1810143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes77c36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2815846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d1…ad22backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.251060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf693…202fbacked Yes73c26.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513046.9%61 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe57…04b3backed Yes80c22.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7150…6a8abacked Yes80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa84a…fb00backed Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.