Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85acb166473f9c33fd9919c8f2d94b3466652763bff4b6ea9c04fc26befa1dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Karmine Corp GC, Shopify Rebellion Gold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 6,522$4,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 5,760$3,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.33 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 4,923$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Karmine Corp GC | 29c | 2,891$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.76 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Karmine Corp GC | 25c | 2,055$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.03 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Karmine Corp GC | 25c | 1,983$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 1,694$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.35 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Karmine Corp GC | 31c | 1,624$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.89 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…0bd2backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 1,426$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed2…e7ccbacked Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 1,425$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…a098backed Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 1,225$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 69c | 1,211$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.58 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba5…b29dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 9c | 1,188$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 1,151$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87f…43a5backed Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 1,104$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 932.89$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.17 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…2357backed Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 906$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bad…ae5ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 859$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…a7cfbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 820$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Karmine Corp GC | 7c | 799.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb016…982dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 761$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 728.79$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.58 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Karmine Corp GC | 20c | 699.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba4e…b333backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 627$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +157.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ce…1817backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 69c | 601.95$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.12 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…f6ebbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 78c | 599.06$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77e2…4293backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 594$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 533.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…82d8backed Karmine Corp GC | 50c | 514.26$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 513.09$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 25c | 503.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Karmine Corp GC | 14c | 493.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 482.24$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aed…37b0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 405$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 71c | 392.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 390.26$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 384$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Karmine Corp GC | 29c | 368.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 54c | 347.18$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.16 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc321…a074backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 343$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Karmine Corp GC | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed Karmine Corp GC | 13c | 320$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ef…bdfebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 312$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 12c | 282.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…b8ffbacked Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 281.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.62 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 271$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 267.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…fc11backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 232$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 214.9$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Karmine Corp GC | 33c | 213.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Karmine Corp GC | 9c | 201.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 198.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…84e6backed Karmine Corp GC | 6c | 191.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…252ebacked Karmine Corp GC | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed Karmine Corp GC | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Karmine Corp GC | 37c | 135.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Karmine Corp GC | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 67c | 122.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 63c | 117.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efc…8a32backed Karmine Corp GC | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Karmine Corp GC | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…bf43backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Karmine Corp GC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…7945backed Karmine Corp GC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Karmine Corp GC | 16c | 95.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…ba26backed Karmine Corp GC | 25c | 88.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Karmine Corp GC | 17c | 86.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 80.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…9e4fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…f744backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Karmine Corp GC | 26c | 79.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…cf06backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 65c | 77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fd…b33cbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Karmine Corp GC | 35c | 57.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Karmine Corp GC | 25c | 50.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 56c | 47.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 41.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 73c | 40.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 70c | 30.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…c89ebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…c307backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 29.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa7…a765backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 74c | 28.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…1069backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…7d17backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…0b1bbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4d…7367backed Karmine Corp GC | 50c | 24.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…dd55backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…b47bbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3a…6c4fbacked Karmine Corp GC | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 72c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 75c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 73c | 14.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion Gold won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp GC vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 WinnerKarmine Corp GC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.