TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blues vs. Islanders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bluesof Blues, Islanders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$614,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$624,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef54…d1eebacked Islanders56c121,740$67,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,975.317749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed Islanders57c101,000$57,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,5701346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Blues44c98,333$43,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,191.8188151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Islanders56c63,810$35,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,695.774264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Blues43c50,671$21,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,882.238748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Islanders42c36,585$15,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,302.052339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues43c33,718$14,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,134.292,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Blues45c33,000$14,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,15013553.3%72 W · 63 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Islanders55c32,308$17,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,769.343339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues63c26,676$16,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,811.041,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Blues44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,20010356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blues44c18,680$8,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,529.611,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Blues44c18,357$8,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,279.687850%39 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Islanders57c16,616$9,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,395.1411352.2%59 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Blues44c15,555$6,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,710.821850.9%111 W · 107 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Blues50c14,790$7,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,409.5927143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Blues59c13,343$7,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,405.06944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders56c12,046$6,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,693.941,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Islanders55c12,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60056649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Blues45c11,968$5,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,592.8251452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Blues11c11,730$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,439.72147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blues44c11,263$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,262.8357453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,40042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Islanders58c9,857$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7003354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Blues44c9,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,04028353%150 W · 133 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Blues43c7,597$3,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,304.5239047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f9c…3cbcbacked Islanders55c7,122$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1993…ceb0backed Blues45c7,117$3,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Blues43c6,126$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.552,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Blues44c5,625$2,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,15015949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues69c5,615$3,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.372,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Islanders54c5,596$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.5675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Blues45c5,584$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.8238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Blues43c5,048$2,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,877.485841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked Blues45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9886649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Islanders55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.986657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Blues43c4,651$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.165453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Islanders56c4,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Blues55c4,179$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.711,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Islanders51c3,500$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.0711946.2%55 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0801…35cbbacked Islanders58c3,356$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,944.571526.7%4 W · 11 L-5.0wins-0.33per pick60cpaid-57.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Blues44c3,333$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.4822546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Blues44c3,209$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.727250%36 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Islanders54c3,200$1,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72468449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders55c2,867$1,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.8530551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Blues44c2,810$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.332251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blues43c2,441$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.4487447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Islanders1c2,322$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.227450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Islanders36c2,307$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.3599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Blues44c2,146$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.7230552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues43c2,045$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.8492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Blues45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Blues43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14053337.5%200 W · 333 L-0.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.9797651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Blues63c1,922$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.5195049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Blues41c1,905$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.889052.2%47 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…b9f6backed Blues45c1,846$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.17785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e1b…c091backed Islanders56c1,846$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Islanders55c1,820$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.9362249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Blues44c1,818$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.1855446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blues45c1,780$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues44c1,581$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.141,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders20c1,462$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.1338738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blues45c1,448$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.161,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Blues44c1,364$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.6293953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues44c1,298$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.381,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Islanders39c1,289$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011051.8%57 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blues66c1,220$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.8830946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Islanders55c1,178$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.221,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Islanders55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60527150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Blues43c1,100$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62712941.9%54 W · 75 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e48…c23bbacked Islanders11c1,100$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265420.4%11 W · 43 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+49.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Blues45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5505253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed Blues45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5507152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Blues43c999.98$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blues71c980.23$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.0184953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067a…404cbacked Blues44c962.15$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.872100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Islanders12c946.81$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6662951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed Blues64c941.59$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.974447.7%21 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22b0…6940backed Islanders56c925.33$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Islanders43c925.18$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.7911537.4%43 W · 72 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d37…eecdbacked Blues45c910$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Islanders56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005945.8%27 W · 32 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b82…c13dbacked Islanders56c880$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f6…c7c3backed Islanders34c875.26$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues62c870.2$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.013,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb800…e43abacked Islanders60c870$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5221850%9 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…a1e9backed Islanders41c851.65$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3506233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfc9…0b56backed Islanders56c850$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4762740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Blues45c833.33$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.3315954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb9…41ecbacked Blues45c820$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4511668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Islanders55c818.18$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45023047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues44c814$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0372847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b89…0c71backed Blues45c797.67$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x363b…932abacked Blues45c779.78$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Blues44c750$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.58645.3%39 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Blues44c749.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.545955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaf5…306cbacked Islanders56c732.32$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.