TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. The MongolZ

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The MongolZof paiN, The MongolZ
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,641
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,641 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33f2…4e69backed paiN33c15,000$4,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,986.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ad…337dbacked The MongolZ68c14,542$9,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,696.352133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked The MongolZ74c11,678$8,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.5916357.1%93 W · 70 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked paiN33c9,082$2,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9978654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf747…f687backed paiN32c8,597$2,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7512138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed paiN32c8,376$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,680.4810348.5%50 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed The MongolZ68c5,689$3,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.5645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed paiN30c5,167$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,566.6611654.3%63 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked The MongolZ68c4,976$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.259647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed The MongolZ56c3,694$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.5513532.6%44 W · 91 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f78…68a4backed paiN7c3,021$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3854.7%4 W · 81 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick15cpaid-84.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked paiN33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99016033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e9…831abacked paiN30c2,874$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.213336.4%12 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed The MongolZ67c2,352$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.166144.3%27 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae7…e1b7backed The MongolZ67c2,321$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.485940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked paiN18c2,222$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked The MongolZ66c1,953$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.7181751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed The MongolZ68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.594862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed The MongolZ67c1,327$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.861,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…c190backed paiN33c1,285$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…ffeabacked The MongolZ67c1,032$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.169552.6%50 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed paiN33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3303551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed paiN35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed paiN13c900$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183724.3%9 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed The MongolZ69c782.35$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.9413146.6%61 W · 70 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked paiN32c743.75$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b2…c82fbacked The MongolZ70c735.93$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.784835.4%17 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-30.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked The MongolZ70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2913043.1%56 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed The MongolZ68c683$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.552740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x087b…0de7backed paiN32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed paiN33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed paiN32c599.45$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.8218650%93 W · 93 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…4275backed The MongolZ71c550$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1614351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2d…d956backed paiN32c526.91$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.423040%12 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+31.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked The MongolZ67c499.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.9981244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked The MongolZ69c499.75$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143855.3%21 W · 17 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked The MongolZ70c495.4$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.621,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7c…5947backed paiN12c415.83$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98629.1%25 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked paiN33c409$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.971127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed The MongolZ68c393.68$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.986956.5%39 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked The MongolZ69c347.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.832759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed paiN33c325.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3922242.8%95 W · 127 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed The MongolZ56c321.7$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5563345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1361…8de1backed The MongolZ68c287.6$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcff…9527backed paiN35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0de3…069ebacked paiN7c260$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…49bebacked paiN20c251$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031758%184 W · 133 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x063b…7d47backed The MongolZ69c246.38$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.382972.4%21 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c96…f26abacked The MongolZ69c243$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.744367.4%29 W · 14 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed The MongolZ80c231$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72db…16c8backed paiN33c215.15$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked paiN48c206.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked paiN6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122540%10 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed paiN33c196.97$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7b…8927backed The MongolZ68c191.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.34850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c91…d0e4backed The MongolZ68c170.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.691233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked paiN9c160$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.435341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed paiN31c159.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.731910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed The MongolZ69c157.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7512843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ68c155$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.61,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked The MongolZ65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked The MongolZ69c147$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.577552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb54c…61b0backed The MongolZ69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed paiN32c142.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4617236%62 W · 110 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed The MongolZ68c124.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8621762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf105…ab49backed paiN33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-58%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked The MongolZ68c119.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3910947.7%52 W · 57 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ69c110.99$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4126563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked paiN33c110.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.562524%6 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-48.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6328…1375backed The MongolZ68c107.16$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.292147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked The MongolZ69c103$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.933369.7%23 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed paiN12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3869…2d67backed paiN33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x213e…5e0fbacked paiN33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed paiN27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714540.7%59 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29e9…c49cbacked paiN32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe117…0b8dbacked paiN32c93.75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-33.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed The MongolZ68c84.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8316050%80 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c70…2b77backed The MongolZ64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0cc…a633backed The MongolZ68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea0…0467backed The MongolZ71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb58a…b840backed The MongolZ70c62.24$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c277backed paiN32c59.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed paiN44c53.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6634848.3%168 W · 180 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904f…50c6backed The MongolZ65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.52425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-52.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed The MongolZ60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208247.6%39 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb44…f556backed The MongolZ68c46.24$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.87258.3%42 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked The MongolZ70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.8635454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4076…04acbacked The MongolZ69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN40c34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.511,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c0…c87cbacked The MongolZ69c33.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.44728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9de…0dc5backed The MongolZ64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0456…7208backed The MongolZ59c27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.072462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8d…a028backed The MongolZ68c26.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.33366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7594…1f03backed The MongolZ70c24.53$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3611625.9%30 W · 86 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6023…a142backed The MongolZ50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf683…c2bcbacked The MongolZ74c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.