College Football · resolved market
Penn State vs. UCLA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a894ea9ddd51fa8604391cb4d95693e8585b77c4ca0a1f316026f8716e41735
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLAof Penn State, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $270,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked UCLA | 38c | 85,578$32,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,817.37 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed UCLA | 59c | 22,346$13,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,121.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Penn State | 44c | 19,282$8,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,470.92 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Penn State | 40c | 17,691$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.65 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penn State | 67c | 13,202$8,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,840.64 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Penn State | 50c | 10,543$5,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,269.65 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Penn State | 48c | 4,023$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.03 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed UCLA | 4c | 3,637$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,491.62 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Penn State | 40c | 3,217$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.39 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Penn State | 38c | 2,150$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.39 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penn State | 55c | 1,968$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.58 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Penn State | 57c | 1,761$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCLA | 52c | 1,747$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.79 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Penn State | 50c | 1,738$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penn State | 1c | 1,554$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Penn State | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Penn State | 29c | 1,449$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Penn State | 70c | 1,424$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked UCLA | 50c | 1,303$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Penn State | 47c | 1,300$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…1a3ebacked Penn State | 33c | 1,239$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed UCLA | 69c | 1,236$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.43 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Penn State | 15c | 1,195$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1108…cb47backed Penn State | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked UCLA | 39c | 1,023$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +155.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UCLA | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…c312backed Penn State | 33c | 971.89$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UCLA | 5c | 890$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.06 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed UCLA | 65c | 841.5$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.73 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed UCLA | 34c | 770.22$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Penn State | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Penn State | 54c | 741.88$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed UCLA | 31c | 740.83$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.83 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed UCLA | 27c | 717.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.76 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed UCLA | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.29 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…ea25backed Penn State | 53c | 704.15$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e680backed Penn State | 73c | 682.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UCLA | 38c | 676.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.19 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Penn State | 57c | 590.62$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.07 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Penn State | 2c | 573$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UCLA | 75c | 529.37$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98f3…bf14backed UCLA | 46c | 509$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Penn State | 58c | 503.13$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked UCLA | 66c | 493.16$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penn State | 58c | 453$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.85 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UCLA | 5c | 444.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.02 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked UCLA | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf4…00fbbacked UCLA | 5c | 421$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.95 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked UCLA | 5c | 400$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d3…86f1backed Penn State | 26c | 388.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed UCLA | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.53 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Penn State | 69c | 311.83$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.23 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Penn State | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked UCLA | 67c | 299.84$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed UCLA | 66c | 299.31$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.77 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…8c3cbacked UCLA | 68c | 294.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed UCLA | 71c | 282.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed UCLA | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Penn State | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…c167backed Penn State | 78c | 248$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penn State | 15c | 244$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Penn State | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Penn State | 38c | 209.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Penn State | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UCLA | 54c | 206$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59b…a8e0backed UCLA | 49c | 205.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked UCLA | 6c | 200$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe914…1707backed UCLA | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked UCLA | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed UCLA | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Penn State | 44c | 126.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…c04bbacked UCLA | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…b9f4backed UCLA | 77c | 114.54$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…40bfbacked UCLA | 34c | 103.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…81d5backed UCLA | 14c | 101$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…db24backed UCLA | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked UCLA | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…a42bbacked Penn State | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed UCLA | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…a240backed Penn State | 52c | 79.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…ff7dbacked UCLA | 70c | 71.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…959cbacked Penn State | 31c | 67.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked UCLA | 52c | 63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Penn State | 36c | 61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Penn State | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed UCLA | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed UCLA | 54c | 45.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…e781backed Penn State | 34c | 44.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…1d1abacked Penn State | 28c | 40.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…9f05backed UCLA | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…976ebacked Penn State | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Penn State | 53c | 36.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…708cbacked Penn State | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…15a7backed UCLA | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfd…b676backed UCLA | 80c | 24.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Penn State | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34e2…8402backed UCLA | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn State vs. UCLAthis page
- Spread: Penn State (-24.5)UCLA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.