Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6020185a8d5d484acdf42d99bf985c41a67e0ef39a97085d99d1395f65acc997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Santa Clara Broncosof Santa Clara Broncos, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Pacific Tigers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 68c | 4,272$2,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.08 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Pacific Tigers | 28c | 3,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Santa Clara Broncos | 71c | 2,491$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.37 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 79c | 1,831$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.49 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Pacific Tigers | 17c | 1,548$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.25 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacific Tigers | 20c | 1,030$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.39 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pacific Tigers | 19c | 1,013$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacific Tigers | 23c | 987.09$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 833.33$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Pacific Tigers | 28c | 803.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Pacific Tigers | 20c | 697$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.19 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 672.92$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 547.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.43 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pacific Tigers | 26c | 534.23$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pacific Tigers | 28c | 473.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Pacific Tigers | 12c | 433.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 399.54$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.87 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Pacific Tigers | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Pacific Tigers | 28c | 335.25$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 328.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 67c | 298.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 290$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Pacific Tigers | 28c | 267.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 237$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Pacific Tigers | 15c | 224.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacific Tigers | 28c | 196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos | 65c | 152$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pacific Tigers | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b5…1ccfbacked Pacific Tigers | 16c | 112.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Pacific Tigers | 20c | 102.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed Pacific Tigers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Pacific Tigers | 43c | 82.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Pacific Tigers | 39c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pacific Tigers | 19c | 76.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeff…7353backed Pacific Tigers | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacific Tigers | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pacific Tigers | 28c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pacific Tigers | 28c | 41.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Pacific Tigers | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Santa Clara Broncos | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 30.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Santa Clara Broncos | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Santa Clara Broncos | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 73c | 16.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.