TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 37.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,700
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,755

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,700 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Under79c937$743 inLost-$742.861947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over20c600$120 inWon+$4801145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over40c450.12$182 inWon+$267.9868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over25c446.58$110 inWon+$336.384555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over18c369$68 inWon+$300.7535648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1690…8c4dbacked Under43c358.11$154 inLost-$153.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x264b…cf7fbacked Over20c200$40 inWon+$1602365.2%15 W · 8 L+6.9wins+0.30per pick35cpaid+91%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Over15c150$23 inWon+$127.51225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Over56c111$62 inWon+$49.03520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-64.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eb0…c7e6backed Over58c110$64 inWon+$45.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f3…d82cbacked Over57c61.22$35 inWon+$26.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Under76c40$30 inLost-$30.3425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-67.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under45c30$14 inLost-$13.513065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4b74…e8d7backed Under45c30$14 inLost-$13.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick62cpaid-57.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x707b…416abacked Under76c25$19 inLost-$191060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.