Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Old Dominion Monarchs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec9a4ad1f0b53e821a341c92412c12d63e0f835a621714d5cd4e96cf89342781
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksof Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, Old Dominion Monarchs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 57c | 2,407$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.86 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 25c | 1,622$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 55c | 1,251$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 40c | 885.77$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.61 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 46c | 863.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.83 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 12c | 626.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 75c | 621.68$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.69 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 60c | 415$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 13c | 375.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 49c | 268.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 42c | 237.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 57c | 224.51$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 55c | 217.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 66c | 183.06$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.73 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.81 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 33c | 167$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.52 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 47c | 161.67$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 62c | 126.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 77c | 105.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 51c | 100.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 67c | 95.35$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 61c | 82.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 181 | 67.4%122 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 23c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 56c | 53.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…3fa5backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 33c | 34.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb9…2b21backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 79c | 19.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…ffb1backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 77c | 16.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c1…6be5backed Old Dominion Monarchs | 73c | 13.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.