TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina Tar Heelsof Duke Blue Devils, North Carolina Tar Heels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels31c9,854$3,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,772.61,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c6,686$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.8530139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels46c6,363$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.981,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina Tar Heels80c5,312$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.042,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Duke Blue Devils71c5,310$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.651,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Duke Blue Devils73c3,933$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Duke Blue Devils53c3,514$1,847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,846.521,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed North Carolina Tar Heels31c3,313$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.360548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e6…d075backed North Carolina Tar Heels25c3,142$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.291540%6 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00ff…f7adbacked Duke Blue Devils71c2,139$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51711252.7%59 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Duke Blue Devils54c2,016$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.0114447.2%68 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ce…8f73backed Duke Blue Devils4c1,800$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64540%2 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick13cpaid+185.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed Duke Blue Devils3c1,800$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562611.5%3 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick6cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels17c1,622$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.576023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Duke Blue Devils70c1,557$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.0389850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Duke Blue Devils52c1,478$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.041,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Duke Blue Devils74c1,459$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.325,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Duke Blue Devils56c1,459$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.4631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed North Carolina Tar Heels24c1,413$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,072.846538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Duke Blue Devils66c1,408$933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.461,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Duke Blue Devils77c1,386$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.4327450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Duke Blue Devils76c1,305$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.92429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf50d…7ba8backed Duke Blue Devils3c1,200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Duke Blue Devils4c1,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42496.1%3 W · 46 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-22.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked North Carolina Tar Heels29c1,195$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.361,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Duke Blue Devils70c1,108$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.812,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Duke Blue Devils71c1,094$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77712749.6%63 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Duke Blue Devils71c1,032$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4261652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Duke Blue Devils58c1,022$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.891,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae5…910abacked Duke Blue Devils2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20390%0 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed North Carolina Tar Heels15c981.95$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.26841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Duke Blue Devils70c900$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6305750.9%29 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Duke Blue Devils70c875.71$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6135843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Duke Blue Devils79c848.76$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.053,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked North Carolina Tar Heels23c806.19$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.1915733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked Duke Blue Devils7c800$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8d…da9dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels23c678.44$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.792035%7 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Duke Blue Devils50c660.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.562,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Duke Blue Devils66c621$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.312,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2198…ac01backed North Carolina Tar Heels15c575$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.62333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+129.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked North Carolina Tar Heels29c539.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.3916053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x824c…5d31backed Duke Blue Devils73c520.96$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc04…1c43backed Duke Blue Devils67c509.03$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed North Carolina Tar Heels20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4005820.7%12 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked North Carolina Tar Heels28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Duke Blue Devils72c487.5$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3512646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina Tar Heels12c431.04$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.322,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53fa…1a66backed Duke Blue Devils70c406.5$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x602f…e222backed Duke Blue Devils72c406.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Duke Blue Devils3c400$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104949%24 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed North Carolina Tar Heels27c400$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2922828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1257…f4d2backed Duke Blue Devils7c379.6$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78150%0 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c1c…9b07backed Duke Blue Devils70c359.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524949%24 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed North Carolina Tar Heels29c343.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.179525.3%24 W · 71 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed North Carolina Tar Heels30c331.26$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.263327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed North Carolina Tar Heels31c322.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.674257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked North Carolina Tar Heels30c316.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed North Carolina Tar Heels32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Duke Blue Devils76c310.81$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.895,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Duke Blue Devils67c303.26$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.1874649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed North Carolina Tar Heels33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0313052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b8…51cfbacked Duke Blue Devils6c300$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+46.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed North Carolina Tar Heels49c274$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.7472248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1db…a4f9backed North Carolina Tar Heels18c273$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+459%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Duke Blue Devils69c262.75$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.32334.8%8 W · 15 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick62cpaid-49.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfb6a…857abacked North Carolina Tar Heels32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704027.5%11 W · 29 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed North Carolina Tar Heels30c249.91$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.0668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Duke Blue Devils69c246.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Duke Blue Devils73c236.45$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.93,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27bf…fa14backed North Carolina Tar Heels16c224.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892615.4%4 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick7cpaid+142.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed North Carolina Tar Heels26c212.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8738345.4%174 W · 209 L-18.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed North Carolina Tar Heels14c210.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0619641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf64…ad49backed Duke Blue Devils80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Duke Blue Devils71c175$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2541554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff26…9f77backed North Carolina Tar Heels30c167.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65d4…4e71backed Duke Blue Devils70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055966.1%39 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels14c142.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.8645351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x425f…f36ebacked Duke Blue Devils72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked North Carolina Tar Heels15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.337530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Duke Blue Devils80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Duke Blue Devils72c125$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.681,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d9…bc6dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels30c118.46$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.46933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9aa…089dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels30c117.7$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed North Carolina Tar Heels49c105.23$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1812537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f9…8d2dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels31c101.93$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.771957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+38.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Carolina Tar Heels14c101.77$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.321,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6264…7b6bbacked Duke Blue Devils77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Duke Blue Devils13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13310%0 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Duke Blue Devils71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7125254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Duke Blue Devils66c99.55$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa1…df77backed Duke Blue Devils71c98.7$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.081650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Duke Blue Devils75c95.56$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked North Carolina Tar Heels30c91.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.919138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed North Carolina Tar Heels19c88.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.467247.2%34 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Duke Blue Devils69c86.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Duke Blue Devils55c81.43$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8555…59fdbacked Duke Blue Devils52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Duke Blue Devils70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Duke Blue Devils70c71.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.