NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63a3b799180f40a243e1ec03ab8fddd86ea7b1f539d86d3f57e2828e2b09f057
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 57c | 89,457$50,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,823.74 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 43c | 37,985$16,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,517.03 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 31,908$13,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,919.85 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 10,347$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.63 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 4,082$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.35 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 3,492$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.22 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.77 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Over | 59c | 1,100$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 50c | 1,043$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 69c | 974$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.53 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 23c | 973.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.56 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 43c | 815.69$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.71 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 535.72$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.72 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 44c | 363.64$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fc…3e7fbacked Over | 58c | 247.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 57c | 212.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…fd45backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 44c | 190.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 47c | 146.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 45c | 144$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 58c | 140.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 123.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 273 | 34.4%94 W · 179 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 46c | 88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 43c | 46.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…59c4backed Over | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c5…cd3cbacked Over | 57c | 23.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…5157backed Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Over | 59c | 18.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. Red WingsPredators won
- Predators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Predators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.