Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc29794f25713789548296a5ac9d2148589d443a98e723e90df6b463138080b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 1c | 1,838$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…2658backed Yes | 58c | 1,323$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 1,161$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 684.75$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.71 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 529.53$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.08 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 507.75$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 30c | 401.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.67 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 29c | 384.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 29c | 382.76$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.76 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 41c | 289$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.23 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…958dbacked No | 69c | 199.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 74cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 34c | 195.9$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 78c | 195.2$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 63c | 153.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 143.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 14c | 117.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 114.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 107.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 56c | 57.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 26c | 55.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed No | 71c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 31c | 51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 71c | 41.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Yes | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…b7aebacked Yes | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.