Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe38651fc549274e2718aa4cc31abd06183444e8e8a7036d969ebad0765a7a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked Down | 50c | 13,366$6,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,737 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Down | 8c | 6,908$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Up | 46c | 4,532$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.72 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf6…ceb2backed Up | 47c | 2,863$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…a9b9backed Down | 66c | 2,511$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…3471backed Up | 49c | 2,365$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.13 | 304 | 43.4%132 W · 172 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Down | 47c | 1,864$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Down | 11c | 1,739$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Down | 5c | 1,218$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Up | 42c | 1,168$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.46 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…5b91backed Up | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6776…d21abacked Up | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144f…41b6backed Up | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cb…5e13backed Up | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f6…2348backed Up | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3442…61c2backed Up | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2881…e7a6backed Up | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…b598backed Up | 49c | 900$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Down | 49c | 803.97$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.23 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…a976backed Up | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc23…730cbacked Down | 3c | 787.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Up | 56c | 717.37$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…f395backed Down | 2c | 712.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 82 | 4.9%4 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…681abacked Up | 53c | 625.75$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Down | 15c | 606.85$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.43 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…23c1backed Up | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…d725backed Down | 6c | 599.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Up | 50c | 550$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Up | 39c | 529.06$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.82 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…5261backed Down | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Down | 48c | 479.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.02 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2498…91b1backed Down | 5c | 473.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed Up | 62c | 473$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.91 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Down | 7c | 465.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae46…a663backed Down | 31c | 449.98$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf912…007dbacked Down | 13c | 420.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…50aebacked Down | 3c | 407.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…d32abacked Down | 23c | 361.19$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7c…b0ecbacked Up | 53c | 340.97$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…346ebacked Down | 6c | 320.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Down | 48c | 304.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Down | 6c | 301.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bb…1d9ebacked Down | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…71b3backed Down | 8c | 297.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Down | 5c | 292.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608e…d69abacked Up | 47c | 288.79$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e83…1467backed Up | 52c | 250.02$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe15e…d4f8backed Down | 48c | 240.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…0f03backed Down | 58c | 220$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5568…5716backed Down | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798c…7ff6backed Down | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Down | 8c | 217.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f1…6415backed Down | 25c | 212.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.87 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Up | 50c | 202.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…be4cbacked Up | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +31%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…0081backed Up | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Up | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…c703backed Down | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf2…8555backed Down | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…65c9backed Down | 49c | 191.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…b2eebacked Down | 26c | 184.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Up | 68c | 172.84$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.61 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…8831backed Down | 48c | 169.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…1a8bbacked Down | 10c | 167.51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4e…fe29backed Up | 53c | 163.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Up | 78c | 150.14$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Down | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Down | 48c | 147.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x571e…67b2backed Down | 47c | 146.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed Down | 47c | 146.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Up | 56c | 145.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Down | 17c | 133.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…fc36backed Up | 76c | 114.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1826…690dbacked Down | 10c | 111.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bd…5acbbacked Down | 57c | 108$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…50adbacked Up | 77c | 105.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Down | 65c | 100.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc1…9c55backed Down | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2402…2bfcbacked Down | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…2bb3backed Down | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa069…32edbacked Up | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…b9aabacked Up | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…ed11backed Down | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e45…1efbbacked Down | 65c | 91.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5eb…9120backed Down | 48c | 90.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Up | 50c | 87.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…fa8fbacked Down | 22c | 83.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6688…fdcebacked Up | 39c | 80.64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…4ce9backed Up | 63c | 76.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed Up | 65c | 76.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…34e1backed Up | 41c | 66.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Up | 72c | 63.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…3e84backed Up | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a95…2551backed Down | 23c | 55.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Up | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…5fbdbacked Up | 67c | 50.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf806…ac4ebacked Down | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…5c76backed Down | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Down | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…43abbacked Down | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.