UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c1cf78abc70b506baf1b0604852c87f7428934339a01b53c9d9aafdcbb1e0d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esteban Ribovicsof Edson Barboza, Esteban Ribovics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Edson Barboza | 10c | 20,000$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.93 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 13,192$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.04 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…692ebacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 12,961$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Edson Barboza | 14c | 12,417$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.65 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Edson Barboza | 4c | 10,669$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.02 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Edson Barboza | 14c | 10,126$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.61 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Edson Barboza | 14c | 9,450$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323 | 200 | 48.5%97 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbc…d4adbacked Edson Barboza | 20c | 5,003$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.53 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 4,333$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 4,153$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.3 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 3,603$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.18 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Edson Barboza | 10c | 3,560$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.59 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Edson Barboza | 14c | 3,510$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.8 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dd…e210backed Esteban Ribovics | 80c | 3,199$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Esteban Ribovics | 80c | 3,005$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.99 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Edson Barboza | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb450…eaefbacked Edson Barboza | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Edson Barboza | 16c | 2,325$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.92 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Edson Barboza | 19c | 1,800$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Edson Barboza | 5c | 1,768$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.68 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Edson Barboza | 6c | 1,716$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Edson Barboza | 11c | 1,638$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.04 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…e8f9backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 1,605$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.72 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 1,301$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Edson Barboza | 16c | 1,111$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…eb10backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Edson Barboza | 9c | 953.48$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 916$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5e…3a87backed Edson Barboza | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Edson Barboza | 5c | 731$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Edson Barboza | 18c | 710.96$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc948…59b7backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Edson Barboza | 16c | 634.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…6cf3backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 613.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676e…28c5backed Edson Barboza | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…cfd7backed Edson Barboza | 16c | 585.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +355.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Edson Barboza | 3c | 566.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Edson Barboza | 11c | 546.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Edson Barboza | 14c | 539.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Edson Barboza | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 446.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…eebfbacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 426.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 391$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Edson Barboza | 7c | 383.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Edson Barboza | 8c | 375.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…1219backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…2226backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…16a8backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 324.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Edson Barboza | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Edson Barboza | 16c | 275.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…14e8backed Edson Barboza | 18c | 261.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 27cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45c7…a35dbacked Edson Barboza | 18c | 246.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4531…ce1fbacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Esteban Ribovics | 80c | 214.71$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Edson Barboza | 16c | 212.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 208.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf496…02a1backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…be66backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…4324backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Edson Barboza | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2932…3ae8backed Edson Barboza | 16c | 183.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc19…a44dbacked Esteban Ribovics | 79c | 180.18$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Edson Barboza | 12c | 170.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 381 | 53.5%204 W · 177 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Edson Barboza | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Edson Barboza | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 142.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…7483backed Edson Barboza | 14c | 136.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 135.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5053…f355backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa28e…4e3dbacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…5083backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 119.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…b0f0backed Edson Barboza | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Edson Barboza | 13c | 109$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Edson Barboza | 17c | 101.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked Edson Barboza | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…2c43backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…5b6abacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec23…bfbabacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…a3debacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cd2ebacked Edson Barboza | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…56cdbacked Edson Barboza | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…75e3backed Edson Barboza | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…98eabacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 87.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Esteban Ribovics | 69c | 85$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ad…adb4backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 74.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +131%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…3180backed Edson Barboza | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Edson Barboza | 15c | 68.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5173…c07cbacked Edson Barboza | 21c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…05bebacked Esteban Ribovics | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
- Will Esteban Ribovics win by KO or TKO?Yes won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.