Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rostikfacekid Club vs VooDooSh Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9612ed000e0ad0544d21cd2e5189c6ca7ec39d6e8da8f6bd6b43b46b7c59ea49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VooDooSh Clubof Rostikfacekid Club, VooDooSh Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rostikfacekid Club | 41c | 234.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24f…3432backed VooDooSh Club | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed VooDooSh Club | 45c | 121.18$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rostikfacekid Club | 53c | 113.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.46 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Rostikfacekid Club | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b56…1baabacked VooDooSh Club | 48c | 103.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed VooDooSh Club | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rostikfacekid Club | 43c | 83.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked VooDooSh Club | 53c | 56.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed Rostikfacekid Club | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…a9e4backed VooDooSh Club | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Rostikfacekid Club | 44c | 36.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked VooDooSh Club | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.