Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d042587be7d2dbaa18046063b0db81f718a07cc581f11fd63f2818dd5653e1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 15,580$9,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,608.8 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed L1ga Team | 34c | 10,353$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.21 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 7,325$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.66 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 0c | 6,177$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 36c | 5,464$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed L1ga Team | 33c | 5,210$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.51 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 3,017$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.94 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked L1ga Team | 36c | 2,645$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.52 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 2,344$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 2,147$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.6 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,954$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.01 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,668$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed L1ga Team | 28c | 1,659$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.09 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 32c | 1,600$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked L1ga Team | 34c | 1,498$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.84 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,486$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.96 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,480$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.7 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 36c | 1,396$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.72 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 1,367$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.62 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed L1ga Team | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 1,240$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.47 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 34c | 999.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 974.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 905.53$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed L1ga Team | 34c | 865.57$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 28c | 839.91$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 832.12$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 31c | 800$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 730$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 720.6$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked L1ga Team | 28c | 636.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.39 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 36c | 603.06$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked L1ga Team | 15c | 598.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbef…f45fbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 486.77$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.67 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked L1ga Team | 34c | 429.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 12c | 421.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed L1ga Team | 35c | 414.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 229.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 208.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed L1ga Team | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 186.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed L1ga Team | 34c | 175.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 149.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 146.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 30c | 146.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked L1ga Team | 33c | 138.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed L1ga Team | 34c | 138.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 12c | 137.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 134.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 125$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 889 | 38%338 W · 551 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…71cebacked L1ga Team | 16c | 121.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 119.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 112.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 19c | 110.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 109.3$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed L1ga Team | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 98.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked L1ga Team | 34c | 93.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 92.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 92.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 551 | 61.7%340 W · 211 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 32c | 81.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 74.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed L1ga Team | 35c | 74.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed L1ga Team | 34c | 73.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked L1ga Team | 34c | 66.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…7a55backed L1ga Team | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed L1ga Team | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 54.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…21e2backed L1ga Team | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked L1ga Team | 29c | 49.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 47.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 45.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 45.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed L1ga Team | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…b8dabacked L1ga Team | 34c | 41.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed L1ga Team | 33c | 40.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed L1ga Team | 30c | 35.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 33.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 604 | 60.6%366 W · 238 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…d36fbacked L1ga Team | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 18.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.