Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57bb8a9f14f25451e9b6a11491f52fe58ba3cd4004151c2f74897ff3d5adf990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 11,189$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.94 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 5,187$4,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.32 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 4,317$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.65 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed L1ga Team | 14c | 3,679$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.5 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 3,529$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 26c | 3,526$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.46 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed L1ga Team | 23c | 3,412$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.89 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 3,000$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 2,312$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.4 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed L1ga Team | 29c | 1,747$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.78 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 18c | 1,614$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 1,020$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.68 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked L1ga Team | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed L1ga Team | 16c | 999.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked L1ga Team | 16c | 927.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 23c | 779.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked L1ga Team | 7c | 752.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked L1ga Team | 21c | 752.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 749.22$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 699.99$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked L1ga Team | 21c | 665.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 16c | 629$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.14 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed L1ga Team | 28c | 563.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed L1ga Team | 9c | 559.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 19c | 545.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 543.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.06 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked L1ga Team | 24c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked L1ga Team | 17c | 393.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed L1ga Team | 29c | 389.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 14c | 299.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 292.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 14c | 281.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed L1ga Team | 30c | 271$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 22c | 266.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.95 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 258.32$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 21c | 254.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1,255 | 49.6%623 W · 632 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed L1ga Team | 22c | 247.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked L1ga Team | 21c | 220.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked L1ga Team | 26c | 185.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked L1ga Team | 21c | 170$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked L1ga Team | 22c | 157.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked L1ga Team | 28c | 135.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team | 15c | 121.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team | 21c | 120.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 110.66$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked L1ga Team | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…92e1backed L1ga Team | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked L1ga Team | 20c | 73.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed L1ga Team | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed L1ga Team | 19c | 56.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked L1ga Team | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed L1ga Team | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 317 | 36%114 W · 203 L | -18.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 40.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20df…c787backed L1ga Team | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 35.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 29.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 581 | 56.6%329 W · 252 L | +27.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 26.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…cf1abacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 303 | 58.7%178 W · 125 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Nigma Galaxy | 80c | 14.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.93 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.