Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf51517a642cb354bdccf98e42c32600b1d4ea9afa32122803f9149612302c1c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof 1win, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked 1win | 22c | 9,134$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.39 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed South America Rejects | 67c | 6,920$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.62 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 67c | 5,861$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.67 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 1win | 34c | 5,780$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.9 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed South America Rejects | 80c | 3,227$2,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.6 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked South America Rejects | 70c | 2,584$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.26 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked 1win | 33c | 2,405$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.06 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed 1win | 26c | 2,318$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.66 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked South America Rejects | 77c | 1,750$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 1win | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed 1win | 37c | 1,419$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.38 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked 1win | 34c | 1,024$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.53 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked 1win | 34c | 888.47$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.33 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed 1win | 16c | 800$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked South America Rejects | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 1win | 32c | 603.91$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked South America Rejects | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.13 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed South America Rejects | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed South America Rejects | 70c | 480$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 1win | 29c | 453.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed South America Rejects | 70c | 425.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed 1win | 35c | 354$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 66c | 350$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed 1win | 31c | 327.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed South America Rejects | 80c | 310$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed 1win | 31c | 300.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.04 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked South America Rejects | 79c | 278.3$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed South America Rejects | 67c | 276.67$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked 1win | 32c | 272.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 1win | 30c | 227.82$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed South America Rejects | 66c | 220.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 73c | 190.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed South America Rejects | 79c | 180$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed South America Rejects | 73c | 170$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed South America Rejects | 69c | 152.86$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.86 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed South America Rejects | 66c | 152.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed South America Rejects | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed South America Rejects | 67c | 149.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked South America Rejects | 66c | 142.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked 1win | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked 1win | 25c | 118.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.63 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed 1win | 33c | 103.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed South America Rejects | 76c | 102.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked 1win | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed 1win | 40c | 99.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 1win | 32c | 87.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked 1win | 35c | 77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…03fcbacked South America Rejects | 71c | 70.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da7…b914backed South America Rejects | 79c | 69.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked South America Rejects | 66c | 60.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6795…4a4cbacked 1win | 43c | 56.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects | 78c | 54.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed South America Rejects | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked South America Rejects | 76c | 51.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked 1win | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe452…4de3backed South America Rejects | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfa…c499backed South America Rejects | 61c | 47.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects | 74c | 43.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed South America Rejects | 71c | 42.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed South America Rejects | 70c | 30.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 1win | 38c | 28.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed South America Rejects | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked South America Rejects | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked South America Rejects | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed South America Rejects | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: 1win vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 PlayoffsSouth America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.