Mls · resolved market
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcad6e32ecc9875024c3c275e34f0c3e0892f122b8a42b3d80f3324a203c2d1c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 71c | 5,848$4,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.13 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…a7d3backed Yes | 1c | 2,309$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 1,581$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.55 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 63c | 1,384$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.04 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,310$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 3c | 1,269$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 135 | 18.5%25 W · 110 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 986.32$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.38 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 27c | 969.58$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.98 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 35c | 900.8$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.08 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 26c | 759.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.9 | 79 | 62%49 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 31c | 700$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 27c | 610.78$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.87 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…65a9backed Yes | 33c | 571.7$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 30c | 475.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 35c | 470.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.86 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 35c | 442.06$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.34 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed No | 28c | 432.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 34c | 407.72$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 400$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 67c | 391.13$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.61 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 26c | 384.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…f240backed Yes | 33c | 313.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed Yes | 33c | 299.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 35c | 287.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.89 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 21c | 273.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.36 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 37c | 239.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked No | 28c | 227.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.65 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccd…befdbacked No | 28c | 210$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed No | 28c | 197.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 194.11$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.69 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 194.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 192.84$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 28c | 188.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.89 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 64c | 187.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 186.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.37 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 185.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed No | 28c | 173.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed No | 28c | 173.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 37c | 158.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…c2f7backed No | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 36c | 145.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.43 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 38c | 145$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked No | 29c | 137.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 72c | 134.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 128$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked No | 28c | 125.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed No | 36c | 125$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 64c | 122.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed No | 28c | 118.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 112.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 36c | 110$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked No | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed No | 28c | 102.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 31c | 101.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 36c | 86.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked No | 28c | 86.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 78.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 36c | 76.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 70c | 74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 46c | 71.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 70c | 70.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 40c | 70.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…d11bbacked No | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9687…f828backed No | 28c | 69.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 65c | 68.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Yes | 66c | 63.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 36c | 61.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 62c | 60.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e6…6779backed Yes | 66c | 60.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 62c | 60.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…44efbacked Yes | 63c | 59.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 57c | 58.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 57.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…daa0backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 54c | 53.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 38c | 49.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed No | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…3543backed No | 36c | 40.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 31c | 39.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…1d78backed No | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 38c | 37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 22.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Chicago Fire FC vs. New York Red Bulls end in a draw?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.