Serie A · resolved market
US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b10b71c5a63bdb513ba4d52f28a305bd54a8ee7b556b8b3ba31cab9a40889a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26cf…1351backed Over | 50c | 6,018$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 1,063$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.15 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Under | 51c | 993.2$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 49c | 799.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Under | 51c | 745.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 51c | 695.49$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 54c | 538.46$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.69 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 54c | 371.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.24 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed Over | 50c | 130.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 49c | 90.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 52c | 87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bb…6960backed Over | 44c | 79.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked Over | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 55c | 64.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.41per pick | 46cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 53c | 24.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb512…c8d7backed Over | 47c | 24.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- US Lecce vs. Juventus FC: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.