Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961a89ab665737301470133e158217aa7fc3cf58513be276825f98249cd5269e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof REKONIX, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 33c | 38,261$12,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,793.23 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 13,000$8,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.45 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed REKONIX | 36c | 9,514$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.46 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 9,124$7,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.08 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 7,260$4,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540.99 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 6,000$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.99 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 4,046$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.39 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 18c | 2,691$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.97 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked REKONIX | 35c | 2,265$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.29 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 2,090$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.63 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed REKONIX | 28c | 1,778$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.03 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 35c | 1,352$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.76 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…cf86backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 1,346$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.55 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed REKONIX | 25c | 1,243$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,069$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.77 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 1,054$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.22 | 697 | 44.6%311 W · 386 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,014$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.07 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 961.61$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.53 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 915.79$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.79 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…1e47backed REKONIX | 30c | 878.41$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -9.9wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed REKONIX | 35c | 759.36$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 750$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 716.06$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.77 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed REKONIX | 34c | 637$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 559 | 51.9%290 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 560$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked REKONIX | 19c | 530.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed REKONIX | 24c | 499.98$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.3 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 470.97$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 463.33$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 801 | 59.1%473 W · 328 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 398.31$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 376$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 373.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked REKONIX | 26c | 342.23$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed REKONIX | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 272.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked REKONIX | 27c | 260.67$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 260.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 538 | 58.7%316 W · 222 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed REKONIX | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 248.27$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.77 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 33c | 237$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 191.55$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.47 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…760dbacked REKONIX | 35c | 181.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 176.02$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 172.51$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.71 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 151.26$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ff…6465backed REKONIX | 35c | 142.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked REKONIX | 29c | 136.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 120$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked REKONIX | 20c | 119.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed REKONIX | 23c | 117$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed REKONIX | 36c | 108.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 107.7$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed REKONIX | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 505 | 44.2%223 W · 282 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked REKONIX | 35c | 94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked REKONIX | 31c | 90.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 90.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 84.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 26c | 81.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…aa7abacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 71.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 70.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed REKONIX | 34c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 173 | 60.7%105 W · 68 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed REKONIX | 25c | 60.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 57.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked REKONIX | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…86cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 54.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked REKONIX | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f95…38ffbacked REKONIX | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed REKONIX | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…67b9backed REKONIX | 35c | 38.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed REKONIX | 34c | 37.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 35.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 34.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,263 | 49.6%627 W · 636 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…434abacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 496 | 44.6%221 W · 275 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…92e1backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 26.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 20.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.