Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e6a3f74c5beeb1165a34025962c97821d631eab554f16fc8e753e727f6e0dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof REKONIX, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 27c | 17,268$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 6,655$4,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.84 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed REKONIX | 19c | 2,636$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked REKONIX | 29c | 2,597$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.7 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked REKONIX | 26c | 2,392$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.04 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 29c | 1,667$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.96 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,500$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,470$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.3 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 1,400$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked REKONIX | 9c | 1,079$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,048$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 955.06$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.19 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 835$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed REKONIX | 8c | 809.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 792.43$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…0776backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 682.96$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.06 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 676$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.76 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 639.12$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.34 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 613.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 590.32$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 543.28$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.55 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…1479backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 530$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 527.64$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 1,443 | 48.7%703 W · 740 L | +29.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…6ce2backed REKONIX | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d4…0787backed REKONIX | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…659ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 489.2$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.2 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 485.15$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…2bd0backed REKONIX | 27c | 456.42$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 433.89$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb803…0fdfbacked REKONIX | 28c | 430.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 424.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked REKONIX | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 393.83$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.07 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 387.82$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 367.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 360.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 359.94$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 326.83$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked REKONIX | 19c | 320$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 76c | 300$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.75 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed REKONIX | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed REKONIX | 29c | 289.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.04 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 273$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked REKONIX | 7c | 260.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 259.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 259$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 675 | 46.1%311 W · 364 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed REKONIX | 16c | 258$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…59c8backed REKONIX | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2883…39a3backed Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64f…9f48backed REKONIX | 38c | 249.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 246.39$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 243 | 43.6%106 W · 137 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f7…a146backed REKONIX | 31c | 210.52$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 207.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae16…7111backed REKONIX | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed REKONIX | 13c | 186.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed REKONIX | 14c | 185.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 587 | 42.8%251 W · 336 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked REKONIX | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed REKONIX | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…865cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 148.61$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed REKONIX | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked REKONIX | 29c | 128.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…5415backed REKONIX | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked REKONIX | 33c | 120$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed REKONIX | 12c | 117.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed REKONIX | 28c | 115.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 111$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed REKONIX | 12c | 109.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked REKONIX | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa836…753fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 108.07$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked REKONIX | 23c | 105.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…3203backed REKONIX | 29c | 103.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked REKONIX | 29c | 101.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 100.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed REKONIX | 27c | 93.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed REKONIX | 32c | 75.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Nigma Galaxy | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…b6ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 63.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed REKONIX | 26c | 57.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b07…c2dcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 45.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…34d0backed REKONIX | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…4f5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 29c | 38.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.