Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774b1508c2228d9408e031a9c79b763c265697db1b0d382aa68ef7b8d76765e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof REKONIX, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed REKONIX | 37c | 20,190$7,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,481.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 7,500$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 6,197$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.71 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 5,012$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.92 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked REKONIX | 35c | 4,897$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 4,539$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.69 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 3,539$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.38 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked REKONIX | 40c | 3,149$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.64 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…cf1ebacked REKONIX | 38c | 2,589$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,500$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,281.87 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 2,471$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.17 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed REKONIX | 26c | 1,860$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.25 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed REKONIX | 36c | 1,844$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.81 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed REKONIX | 19c | 1,719$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.58 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 1,655$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.78 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,650$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.98 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,620$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.78 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked REKONIX | 34c | 1,600$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.37 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 1,550$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.83 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,434$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.72 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked REKONIX | 45c | 1,346$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.21 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,258$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.21 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed REKONIX | 34c | 1,202$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed REKONIX | 38c | 1,138$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.68 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked REKONIX | 44c | 1,018$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.09 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 993.64$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.64 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 985.69$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.42 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed REKONIX | 41c | 933.62$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.49 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed REKONIX | 52c | 877$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.92 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked REKONIX | 37c | 851.76$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.88 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 849.98$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.49 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 824.94$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.87 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 821.31$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 785$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 773.32$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.71 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1534…1c31backed REKONIX | 54c | 764.18$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 750$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked REKONIX | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked REKONIX | 25c | 654.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed REKONIX | 55c | 653$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.15 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 636.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 629.97$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed REKONIX | 26c | 600.83$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.57 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 543.19$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 78c | 536.75$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb37…7d86backed REKONIX | 37c | 513$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 500.01$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 492.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.54 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 481.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 426.21$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.61 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 395.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 42cpaid | +76%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked REKONIX | 52c | 383.19$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed REKONIX | 42c | 359.27$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 357.92$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.94 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked REKONIX | 52c | 354.57$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed REKONIX | 33c | 346.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.63 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 326.09$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 318$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed REKONIX | 54c | 309.48$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked REKONIX | 49c | 305.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 300.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed REKONIX | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…c067backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 299.98$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 298.69$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.69 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 287.6$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.78 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed Nigma Galaxy | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Nigma Galaxy | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 60c | 249.98$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.54 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…f6b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 241.65$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed REKONIX | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65e5…0cadbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed REKONIX | 27c | 196$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed REKONIX | 25c | 192.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 189.77$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed REKONIX | 25c | 183$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 182.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed REKONIX | 35c | 178.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed REKONIX | 33c | 170.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked REKONIX | 55c | 154.2$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed REKONIX | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33d5…7146backed REKONIX | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 58c | 147.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.31 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 68c | 146.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 145.02$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 134.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed REKONIX | 40c | 133.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed REKONIX | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 126$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed REKONIX | 61c | 125.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked REKONIX | 33c | 121.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 120$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed REKONIX | 31c | 108.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed REKONIX | 17c | 104$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5)Nigma Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.