MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5173bcc42145dd92cd2f92ed968ae6228a0fc5f6dfa16f1cdf40f45eee06e48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Cincinnati Reds, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $582,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $454,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $582,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 125,559$39,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,634.14 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 76,716$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,222.06 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 56,789$25,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,555 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 30,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,499.93 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 26,659$11,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,729.75 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 26,335$14,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,850.65 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 26,250$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,550 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 26,066$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.38 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 24,232$15,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 17,169$9,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,585.65 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 16,816$11,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,749.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 72c | 13,397$9,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768.39 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 13,062$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,747.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 11,930$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,491.61 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 8,112$5,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.93 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 7,318$3,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,219.75 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 5,420$3,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 5,245$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.9 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…93b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 5,200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 4,979$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.49 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 4,754$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.54 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 4,596$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 4,522$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.91 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 4,096$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.15 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,813$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.71 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,260$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 3,157$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.02 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.89 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 2,898$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.85 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 2,828$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…d070backed Cincinnati Reds | 0c | 2,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 2,388$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 2,200$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cincinnati Reds | 13c | 2,142$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.31 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 2,026$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.17 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,799$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.69 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 1,732$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.51 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 1,693$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.5 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 1,630$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.37 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 77c | 1,600$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.96 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 52c | 1,302$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.46 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 1,275$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa475…bfe7backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,179$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.73 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 1,122$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.45 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 1,106$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 1,082$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.39 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 948.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 828$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.13 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 825$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 727.06$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.87 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 719.99$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 670.34$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.54 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 20c | 661.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 621.95$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.19 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 618.78$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 616.11$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 594$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.79 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 591.27$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.27 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 577.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.88 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 560.73$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.97 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 556.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.34 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 556.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.64 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 554.77$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.84 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 16c | 536.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 486.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 479.79$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f9…9d91backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 433.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 432.47$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c05…416cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 18c | 429.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 428.87$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 426$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 417.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.23 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 403.96$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 390$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 368.28$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 360$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 354.53$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 344.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 320.7$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.11 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 320.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 316.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.55 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 312.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 300.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f0…1229backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 273.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 272.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 19.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 21.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-10.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.