CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9371d182476e03681591f2f193f8617b864eb0914e6f69687b33ade2afd83f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $197,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed Over | 44c | 175,486$78,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,455.14 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 55c | 84,108$46,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,259.33 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f78…f679backed Under | 56c | 26,755$14,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,982.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 56c | 20,643$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,553.55 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Under | 56c | 9,323$5,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 56c | 7,423$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.62 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Under | 77c | 6,505$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Under | 56c | 5,014$2,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.19 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…a6e7backed Under | 56c | 4,600$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,576 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Under | 56c | 2,331$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 56c | 1,950$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 56c | 1,196$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.64 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Under | 56c | 1,017$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.69 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Over | 43c | 940.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…2d87backed Under | 56c | 856.3$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 798.59$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.11 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 56c | 560$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.6 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 57c | 560$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Under | 55c | 520.44$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.24 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…e053backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Under | 56c | 453.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.85 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 7c | 416.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Under | 55c | 374.09$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…9c9ebacked Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 56c | 337.34$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.91 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Under | 56c | 332.14$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 56c | 310$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Over | 43c | 258.39$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 250$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 57c | 202.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.5 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 56c | 187$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 176.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 56c | 168$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Over | 28c | 165$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Over | 41c | 147.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 42c | 138.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 66c | 114.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 70c | 100.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Under | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 35c | 84.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3f…50b1backed Under | 72c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed Under | 56c | 54.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04c4…19fbbacked Over | 45c | 53.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…cb6ebacked Over | 45c | 52.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…d7a0backed Under | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Over | 57c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Under | 55c | 42.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 62c | 39.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 36c | 33.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…a560backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 67c | 30.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Under | 68c | 29.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 108 | 56.5%61 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Over | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55c…60f1backed Under | 56c | 26.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…c9aabacked Under | 57c | 26.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28af…7de0backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -6.8wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -48%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…5f97backed Over | 45c | 24.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…7594backed Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0735…fe34backed Over | 68c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Under | 56c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…d28ebacked Under | 56c | 18.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Under | 61c | 16.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group BGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)GamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.