MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cc63cdd9bbd6a995d608608194a8bcf06f48d50b98cfb55beda672ed0a10ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45c9…414bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 90,529$40,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,790.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 66,875$33,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,411.85 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 56c | 25,120$14,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,066.95 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Athletics | 42c | 22,123$9,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,321.69 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Athletics | 55c | 22,055$12,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,027.85 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 17,463$7,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,779.52 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…4c4fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,499.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 13,898$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,782.88 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 63c | 13,393$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.84 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Athletics | 56c | 13,063$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315.28 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 10,973$7,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.42 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Cleveland Guardians | 28c | 10,085$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297.17 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Athletics | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…0636backed Athletics | 1c | 7,871$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Athletics | 31c | 7,656$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 5,820$4,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 48c | 5,766$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Athletics | 45c | 5,671$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.99 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Athletics | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics | 41c | 4,887$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 4,785$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.57 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Athletics | 61c | 4,576$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Athletics | 75c | 4,510$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.89 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 56c | 4,153$2,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.77 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Athletics | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Athletics | 69c | 3,929$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,705.06 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 54c | 3,703$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 58c | 3,349$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Athletics | 32c | 3,307$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.93 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 48c | 3,236$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Athletics | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…3882backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,310$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 57c | 2,282$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.27 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,178$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.14 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 18c | 2,118$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.33 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,018$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.34 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Cleveland Guardians | 25c | 1,963$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.92 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 55c | 1,791$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 33c | 1,618$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 32c | 1,609$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.59 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Athletics | 8c | 1,590$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Athletics | 62c | 1,564$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.26 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Athletics | 39c | 1,548$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.83 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Athletics | 54c | 1,364$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.84 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 13c | 1,283$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.67 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,264$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Athletics | 62c | 1,226$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.41 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.35 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Athletics | 31c | 1,111$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.32 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Athletics | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Athletics | 30c | 1,066$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.91 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Athletics | 54c | 1,027$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.75 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Athletics | 38c | 1,005$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.38 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Athletics | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497a…650fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 962$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.18 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 825.41$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Cleveland Guardians | 23c | 824$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.48 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 56c | 799.96$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.78 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Athletics | 54c | 777.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 754$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.99 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Athletics | 32c | 744.61$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.27 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 723.17$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.02 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 707$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.32 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 656.27$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.51 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 63c | 621$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.84 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Athletics | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 558.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Athletics | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Athletics | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Cleveland Guardians | 30c | 498.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Athletics | 65c | 456.14$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.49 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Athletics | 56c | 450$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 32c | 439.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Athletics | 41c | 437.75$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 411.03$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics | 43c | 397.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Athletics | 58c | 392.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Athletics | 30c | 374.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Athletics | 18c | 369.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Athletics | 59c | 366.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…9a41backed Athletics | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.14 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Athletics | 32c | 343.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…5116backed Cleveland Guardians | 29c | 341.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Athletics | 59c | 333.1$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Athletics | 59c | 313.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 288.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.46 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Athletics | 52c | 282.15$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Athletics | 73c | 280.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 276.06$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 270.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Athletics | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 15.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.