Ligue 1 · resolved market
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2764a430fb05277293dfe747273d3c89286c1825d7f0113ad51590391b30f9a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympique Lyonnaisof Olympique Lyonnais, Stade Rennais FC 1901
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Olympique Lyonnais | 78c | 477.77$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Olympique Lyonnais | 65c | 283.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.16 | 1,933 | 45.3%876 W · 1,057 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Olympique Lyonnais | 26c | 278.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 74c | 229.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.1 | 880 | 44.2%389 W · 491 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Olympique Lyonnais | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Olympique Lyonnais | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 73cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Olympique Lyonnais | 28c | 90$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 75c | 86.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 467 | 50.1%234 W · 233 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…da58backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 65c | 60.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Olympique Lyonnais | 37c | 50.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 70c | 46.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 65c | 38.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 57c | 24.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 493 | 48.5%239 W · 254 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 74c | 16.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)this page
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
- Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-2.5)Olympique Lyonnais won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.