Tennis · resolved market
Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Wilson Leite
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc703fcfde4d4da034c3c81da2129f78e767b727785fa5d7bda41b8bda23506cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luis Guto Miguelof Luis Guto Miguel, Wilson Leite
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x363c…4463backed Wilson Leite | 10c | 5,592$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.11 | 274 | 31.8%87 W · 187 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Wilson Leite | 53c | 1,512$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Wilson Leite | 2c | 1,264$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Wilson Leite | 11c | 1,227$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Wilson Leite | 5c | 790.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Wilson Leite | 4c | 789.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Wilson Leite | 6c | 676.34$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luis Guto Miguel | 75c | 640.88$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Wilson Leite | 6c | 640.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wilson Leite | 6c | 541.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…3342backed Wilson Leite | 5c | 465.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Wilson Leite | 30c | 276.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wilson Leite | 5c | 253.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 70c | 250.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Wilson Leite | 29c | 230.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 70c | 203.57$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…224dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 70c | 201.67$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luis Guto Miguel | 74c | 200.24$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Luis Guto Miguel | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 40c | 198$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Luis Guto Miguel | 40c | 198$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.42 | 246 | 32.9%81 W · 165 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Wilson Leite | 28c | 175.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…cf5dbacked Wilson Leite | 34c | 161.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wilson Leite | 31c | 129$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Luis Guto Miguel | 46c | 122$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef7…cdd6backed Wilson Leite | 33c | 118.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed Luis Guto Miguel | 38c | 109$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Wilson Leite | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Luis Guto Miguel | 40c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Luis Guto Miguel | 40c | 99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.71 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Wilson Leite | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Wilson Leite | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Wilson Leite | 32c | 74.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Luis Guto Miguel | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Luis Guto Miguel | 44c | 65.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…1d98backed Wilson Leite | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Luis Guto Miguel | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Wilson Leite | 29c | 58.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luis Guto Miguel | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Luis Guto Miguel | 79c | 48.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Luis Guto Miguel | 72c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Luis Guto Miguel | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Luis Guto Miguel | 48c | 39.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luis Guto Miguel | 67c | 35.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…ba08backed Luis Guto Miguel | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…ca76backed Luis Guto Miguel | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Luis Guto Miguel | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Luis Guto Miguel | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luis Guto Miguel | 71c | 15.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luis Guto Miguel | 73c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Wilson Leitethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Miguel vs LeiteMiguel won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.